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We Think Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology (SZSE:002823) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology (SZSE:002823) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为凯中精密(深交所代码:002823)能够维持在其债务的顶端
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/18 09:58

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002823) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人说波动性而非债务是投资者评估风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾明确表示,‘波动性远非风险的同义词。’所以聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产相关联——在评估一家公司的风险时是非常重要的因素。我们注意到,凯中精密科技有限公司(SZSE:002823)确实在其资产负债表上负有债务。但股东是否应该担心其债务使用呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻易偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是通过自身现金流。资本主义的一部分就是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业被他们的银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情景是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并为自己谋取利益。当我们检查债务水平时,首先会同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology Carry?

凯中精密科技的债务有多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology had CN¥1.10b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.66b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥103.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.00b.

您可以单击下面的图表查看历史数字,但它显示凯中精密科技在2024年9月的债务为11亿人民币,相比之下,去年同期为16.6亿人民币。另一方面,它拥有10380万现金,导致净债务约为10亿人民币。

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SZSE:002823 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024
SZSE:002823 债务与权益历史 2024年12月18日

A Look At Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology's Liabilities

深圳凯中精密的负债情况概览

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.17b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥496.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥103.8m and CN¥594.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥964.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最后报告的资产负债表,深圳凯中精密在12个月内的负债为11.7亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为49670万人民币。另一方面,它有10380万人民币的现金和59420万人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额为96430万人民币,超过其现金和短期应收款项的总和。

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥4.66b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

深圳凯中精密的市值为46.6亿人民币,因此,如果需要,极有可能筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。然而,仔细观察其偿债能力仍然是值得的。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们通过看净债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算其息税前利润(EBIT)如何轻松地覆盖利息费用(利息覆盖)来衡量一家公司相对于其获利能力的债务负担。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了其支付的利率。

Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.7 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Pleasingly, Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 145% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

深圳凯中精密的净债务是EBITDA的2.4倍,这不算多,但其利息覆盖率看起来有点低,EBIT仅为利息支出的3.7倍。虽然这让我们不太担心,但确实表明利息支付在一定程度上是一个负担。值得欣慰的是,深圳凯中精密的EBIT增速快于前澳大利亚总理鲍勃·霍克喝下大杯的速度,在过去的十二个月里增长了145%。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的大部分知识都与债务有关。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为深圳凯中精密需要盈利来服务这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,查看盈利趋势绝对是值得的。点击这里查看互动快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但我们最终的考虑同样重要,因为公司不能用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要实实在在的现金。因此,值得检查其中有多少EBIT得到了自由现金流的支持。在过去三年中,深圳凯中精密产生的自由现金流相当于其EBIT的53%,大约是我们所期望的。这一自由现金流使公司在适当的时候有良好的偿债能力。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its interest cover does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Kaizhong Precision Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

令人欣慰的是,凯中精密令人印象深刻的EBIT增长率表明它在债务上占据优势。但坦白说,我们觉得其利息覆盖率确实在某种程度上削弱了这种印象。综合考虑所有上述因素,我们认为凯中精密可以相对轻松地处理其债务。好的一面是,这种杠杆可以提升股东回报,但潜在的 downside 是损失风险的增加,因此值得关注资产负债表。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个很好的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都有可能存在不在资产负债表上的风险。我们识别了凯中精密的三个预警信号,理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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