Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?
Is Datang Telecom Technology (SHSE:600198) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Datang Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600198) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录直言不讳地表示,‘最大投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。’ 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总喜欢查看其债务的使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。 我们注意到, 大唐电信科技股份有限公司 (SHSE:600198) 确实在其资产负债表上有债务。 但是,股东应该对其债务使用感到担忧吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时会变得危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当一家公司无法轻易偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,要么通过融资,要么依靠自身的现金流。 在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,就可能破产。 虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司因债权人迫使它们以低迷的价格筹集资金而永久性稀释股东的股份。 但是,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本投资于高回报增长的企业的一个极好工具。 当我们检查债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平的综合情况。
How Much Debt Does Datang Telecom Technology Carry?
大唐电信的债务有多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Datang Telecom Technology had CN¥250.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥158.7m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥261.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥11.1m net cash position.
您可以单击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至 2024 年 9 月, 大唐电信的债务为 25060万元,较前一年的 15870万元有所增加。 但另一方面,它也拥有 26170万元的现金,导致 1110万元的净现金头寸。
How Healthy Is Datang Telecom Technology's Balance Sheet?
大唐电信的资产负债表健康吗?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Datang Telecom Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥939.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥261.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥909.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥890.8m.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,大唐电信的负债为11.2亿元人民币,1年内到期的负债为93910万元人民币。抵消这些义务,它有现金26170万元人民币以及在12个月内到期的应收款90920万元人民币。因此,它的负债超过现金和(短期)应收款的总和88980万元人民币。
Since publicly traded Datang Telecom Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥15.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Datang Telecom Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由于在公开交易的大唐电信股票总值为153亿元人民币,因此此负债水平似乎不会构成重大威胁。不过,显然我们应该继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。尽管有显著的负债,大唐电信却拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它并没有沉重的债务负担!
Although Datang Telecom Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥40m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Datang Telecom Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
尽管大唐电信在EBIT层面上去年出现了亏损,但在过去的12个月里,看到它产生了4000万元人民币的EBIT也是不错的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为大唐电信需要盈利来服务于这笔债务。因此,在考虑债务时,查看盈利趋势绝对值得一看。点击这里查看交互式快照。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Datang Telecom Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Datang Telecom Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。大唐电信在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但关注这家企业如何将其息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的一年中,大唐电信的自由现金流总计出现了大幅度的负值。虽然这可能是由于增长支出的结果,但确实使得债务风险大增。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Datang Telecom Technology has CN¥11.1m in net cash. So we are not troubled with Datang Telecom Technology's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Datang Telecom Technology you should be aware of.
虽然查看公司的总负债总是明智的,但大唐电信拥有1110万人民币的净现金让人感到很放心。所以我们对大唐电信的债务使用并不担忧。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个好的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都集中在资产负债表中——远非如此。举个例子:我们发现了大唐电信的2个警告信号,你应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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