share_log

We Think Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment (SZSE:300129) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment (SZSE:300129) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为泰胜风能(深交所代码:300129)能够保持在债务之上
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/18 14:15

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300129) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过:‘波动性远非与风险同义。’ 在审视企业风险时,考虑公司的资产负债表是很自然的,因为债务往往是企业崩溃时涉及的因素。 重要的是,泰胜风能(深圳证券交易所代码:300129)确实负有债务。 但更重要的问题是:这些债务究竟带来了多少风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻松履行债务和其他负债时,例如无法以自由现金流或以吸引人的价格筹集资本,这些债务和其他负债就变得具有风险。 在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法支付其债权人,则可能会破产。 然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是公司不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。 然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率进行增长投资的企业的极好工具。 当我们审视债务水平时,首先考虑的是现金和债务的水平。

What Is Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment's Net Debt?

泰胜风能的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment had debt of CN¥1.18b, up from CN¥332.5m in one year. However, it does have CN¥873.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥305.6m.

下图可以点击以获取更详细信息,显示到2024年9月泰胜风能的债务为11.8亿人民币,较去年增加了33250万人民币。 然而,它有87380万人民币的现金抵消这部分债务,导致净债务约为30560万人民币。

big
SZSE:300129 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024
SZSE:300129 2024年12月18日的债务与股本历史

How Healthy Is Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment's Balance Sheet?

上海泰胜风能的资产负债表健康吗?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment had liabilities of CN¥3.93b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥554.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥873.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.54b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

从最新的资产负债表中,我们可以看到,上海泰胜风能的流动负债为392.3亿人民币,非流动负债为55410万人民币。在抵消这些义务后,它拥有87380万人民币的现金以及价值35.4亿人民币的应收账款,均在12个月内到期。因此,这些流动资产大致与总负债相匹配。

Having regard to Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥6.96b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

考虑到上海泰胜风能的规模,其流动资产与总负债之间的平衡似乎很好。因此,虽然很难想象这家69.6亿人民币的公司在现金流方面有困难,但我们认为仍然值得关注其资产负债表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们通过查看公司的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及计算息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖利息费用的能力(利息保障率),来衡量公司的债务负担相对于其盈利能力的情况。这种方法的优势在于,我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(通过净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息费用(通过其利息保障率)。

Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.83. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.3 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the other side of the story is that Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment saw its EBIT decline by 7.1% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

上海泰胜风能的净债务与EBITDA比率仅为0.83,属于较低水平。其EBIT轻松覆盖了利息支出,比例为15.3倍。因此,我们对其超保守的债务使用方式感到相当放心。但另一方面的情况是,上海泰胜风能的EBIT在过去一年中下降了7.1%。这种下降如果持续,显然会使债务变得更难以处理。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的区域。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定上海泰胜风能是否能够随着时间的推移增强其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,显示分析师的利润预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,一家公司只能用冰冷的现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们显然需要看看EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。在过去三年里,泰胜风能的自由现金流总共出现了大幅度的负值。虽然这可能是由于增长支出所致,但这确实使得债务变得更加风险。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shanghai Taisheng Wind Power Equipment is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

根据我们看到的,鉴于EBIT与自由现金流的转化,泰胜风能并不容易找到合适的解决办法,但我们考虑的其他因素让我们感到乐观。特别是,我们对其利息覆盖率感到惊艳。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,我们确实对泰胜风能的债务使用感到有些谨慎。虽然我们理解债务可以增加股本收益,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免其增加。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。请注意,泰胜风能在我们的投资分析中显示出3个警告信号,其中1个是潜在的严重问题……

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发