Here's Why We Think American Express (NYSE:AXP) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Here's Why We Think American Express (NYSE:AXP) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
投资者常常受到寻找“下一个大事”的理念指导,即使这意味着购买没有营业收入,更不用说利润的“故事股票”。但现实是,当一家公司每年亏损足够长的时间时,它的投资者通常会承担这些损失。一家亏损的公司尚未证明自己能够盈利,最终外部资本的流入可能会枯竭。
In contrast to all that, many investors prefer to focus on companies like American Express (NYSE:AXP), which has not only revenues, but also profits. Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide American Express with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
与所有这些相对,许多投资者更喜欢关注像美国运通(纽约证券交易所:AXP)这样的公司,它不仅有营业收入,还有利润。即使市场对这家公司估值合理,投资者也会同意,产生持续的利润将继续为美国运通提供为股东创造长期价值的手段。
American Express' Earnings Per Share Are Growing
美国运通的每股收益正在增长
The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. We can see that in the last three years American Express grew its EPS by 13% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.
市场在短期是投票机,但在长期是称重机,因此你可以期待股价最终跟随每股收益(EPS)的结果。这意味着每股收益的增长被大多数成功的长期投资者视为真正的积极因素。我们可以看到,在过去三年中,美国运通每年将每股收益增长了13%。如果这个增长率能够持续,那就是一个良好的增长率。
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. It's noted that American Express' revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort our analysis of its margins. EBIT margins for American Express remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 8.9% to US$59b. That's encouraging news for the company!
查看税息折旧及摊销前盈利(EBIT)利润率以及营业收入增长通常是有帮助的,这样可以获得公司增长质量的另一种看法。注意到美国运通的运营收入低于其过去十二个月的营业收入,因此这可能会扭曲我们对其利润率的分析。尽管美国运通的EBIT利润率在过去一年中基本保持不变,但公司应高兴地报告其收入在该期间增长了8.9%,达到590亿美元。这对公司来说是一个令人鼓舞的讯息!
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
在下面的图表中,您可以看到公司随时间增长的收益和营业收入。欲了解更详细的信息,请单击图片。
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of American Express' future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
幸运的是,我们可以访问分析师对美国运通未来利润的预测。你可以自己进行预测,或者看看专业人士的预测。
Are American Express Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
美国运通的内部人士与所有股东保持一致吗?
Since American Express has a market capitalisation of US$214b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Notably, they have an enviable stake in the company, worth US$278m. We note that this amounts to 0.1% of the company, which may be small owing to the sheer size of American Express but it's still worth mentioning. So despite their percentage holding being low, company management still have plenty of reasons to deliver the best outcomes for investors.
由于美国运通的市值为2140亿美金,我们不会期望内部人士持有大量股份。但我们欣慰于他们是公司的投资者。值得注意的是,他们在公司的股份价值为27800万美金。我们注意到这占公司总值的0.1%,虽然由于美国运通的庞大规模,这个比例可能较小,但仍值得提及。因此尽管他们的持股比例较低,但公司管理层仍有很多理由为投资者创造最佳收益。
Is American Express Worth Keeping An Eye On?
美国运通值得关注吗?
One important encouraging feature of American Express is that it is growing profits. To add an extra spark to the fire, significant insider ownership in the company is another highlight. That combination is very appealing. So yes, we do think the stock is worth keeping an eye on. If you think American Express might suit your style as an investor, you could go straight to its annual report, or you could first check our discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation for the company.
美国运通一个重要的令人鼓舞的特点是它的利润在增长。再加上公司内部人士的显著持股,这是另一个亮点。这种组合非常吸引人。因此,是的,我们认为这只股票值得关注。如果你认为美国运通可能适合你的投资风格,你可以直接查看它的年度报告,或者先查看我们对公司的折现现金流(DCF)估值。
Although American Express certainly looks good, it may appeal to more investors if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see companies with more skin in the game, then check out this handpicked selection of companies that not only boast of strong growth but have strong insider backing.
尽管美国运通看起来不错,但如果内部人士购买股票,可能会吸引更多投资者。如果你喜欢看到企业在风险中投入更多,那么请查看这份精心挑选的公司名单,这些公司不仅拥有强劲的增长,还得到了内部人士的强力支持。
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
请注意,本文讨论的内部交易是指在相关管辖区内可报告的交易。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。