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The Total Return for Golden Ocean Group (NASDAQ:GOGL) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

The Total Return for Golden Ocean Group (NASDAQ:GOGL) Investors Has Risen Faster Than Earnings Growth Over the Last Five Years

在过去五年中,金海洋集团(纳斯达克:GOGL)投资者的总回报增长速度超过了盈利增长。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/18 13:22

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) share price down 27% in the last month. But at least the stock is up over the last five years. Unfortunately its return of 50% is below the market return of 102%.

股东们可能会对金海洋集团有限公司(纳斯达克:GOGL)在上个月股价下跌27%感到担忧。 不过,至少这只股票在过去五年中是上涨的。 不幸的是,其50%的回报低于市场102%的回报。

In light of the stock dropping 6.3% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.

鉴于股票在过去一周下跌了6.3%,我们希望调查更长期的故事,看看基本面是否推动了公司积极的五年回报。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章《Graham-and-Doddsville超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映业务价值的情况。一个有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over half a decade, Golden Ocean Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 52% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 8% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 7.32.

在过去的五年中,金海洋集团每年实现了52%的每股收益增长。 这一每股收益的增长令人印象深刻,而同期股票价格的年增幅仅为8%。 因此,看起来市场对这只股票现在并不那么热衷。 这种谨慎的情绪反映在其(相对较低的)市盈率7.32上。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。

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NasdaqGS:GOGL Earnings Per Share Growth December 18th 2024
纳斯达克GS:GOGL 每股收益增长 2024年12月18日

We know that Golden Ocean Group has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

我们知道金海洋集团最近改善了其利润,但它的营业收入会增长吗?如果您有兴趣,可以查看这份显示共识营业收入预测的免费报告。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Golden Ocean Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 159%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何分红都被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集和剥离的计算价值。可以公平地说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了更完整的图景。实际上,金海洋集团在过去5年的TSR为159%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。而且,没有人能猜错,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Golden Ocean Group shareholders are up 6.4% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 21% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Golden Ocean Group that you should be aware of before investing here.

金海洋集团的股东今年上涨了6.4%(即使包括分红),但这低于市场平均水平。好消息是,长期回报(每年约为21%,超过五年)看起来更好。考虑到市场长期以来持续的积极反应,这可能是一个值得关注的业务。我发现从长期来看观察股价作为业务绩效的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现金海洋集团存在2个警告信号,您在此投资前应当注意。

But note: Golden Ocean Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意:金海洋集团可能不是最值得买入的股票。因此,请查看这份有趣公司的免费名单,这些公司过去有盈利增长(并且预计将进一步增长)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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