Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:300562) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 36% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 53% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 6.2x, you may still consider Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics as an solid investment opportunity with its 3.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 42% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 40% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics' P/S?
Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
A look at Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangdong Transtek Medical Electronics (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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