share_log

Is Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry (SZSE:300641) A Risky Investment?

Is Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry (SZSE:300641) A Risky Investment?

正丹股份 (SZSE:300641) 是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/19 07:43

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李璐(曾得到查理·芒格的支持)曾说过:'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。' 所以,看起来聪明的钱知道,债务——这通常与破产相关——是评估一家公司风险时一个非常重要的因素。 重要的是,正丹股份的确有债务。 但股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务在企业中有助于运营,直到企业难以用新资本或自由现金流偿还债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款方可以控制企业。然而,一个更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须在低价位稀释股东以控制债务。当然,债务可以是企业中一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先把现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's Debt?

正丹股份的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry had CN¥190.8m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥454.6m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥1.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥929.7m.

如您在下方所见,正丹股份在2024年9月的债务为19080万元,同比减少45460万元。然而,它有11.2亿元的现金抵消这部分债务,导致净现金为92970万元。

big
SZSE:300641 Debt to Equity History December 18th 2024
SZSE:300641 债务与股本历史 2024年12月18日

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's Balance Sheet?

正丹股份的资产负债表健康状况如何?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry had liabilities of CN¥446.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥2.56m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.12b in cash and CN¥841.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.51b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到正丹股份的负债为44660万人民币,12个月内到期的负债为256万人民币。与此相抵,它有11.2亿人民币的现金和84130万人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,它实际上有15.1亿人民币的流动资产超过总负债。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这短期流动性表明正丹股份可能轻松偿还其债务,因为其资产负债表远未紧张。简单来说,正丹股份的现金超过负债,合理地说,这是一个很好的指标,表明它可以安全地管理其债务。

Although Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥940m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

尽管正丹股份在EBIT层面上去年出现了亏损,但很高兴看到它在过去12个月中产生了94000万人民币的EBIT。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为正丹股份需要盈利来偿还这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,查看盈利趋势绝对是值得的。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent year, Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry recorded free cash flow of 40% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。正丹股份的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然值得关注企业如何将其利息和税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。查看最近的一年,正丹股份记录的自由现金流为其EBIT的40%,这比我们预期的要弱。当支付债务时,这并不好。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry has net cash of CN¥929.7m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry has 4 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

虽然我们理解对债务感到担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,正丹股份拥有净现金92970万人民币,以及负债少于流动资产。因此,我们对正丹股份使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,任何公司都可能存在在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,正丹股份有4个警告信号(还有1个不应忽视),我们认为你应该了解。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发