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Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Shanghai Chinafortune's SHSE:600621) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 4.0% This Week, Shanghai Chinafortune's SHSE:600621) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

在本周回落4.0%,华鑫股份(SHSE:600621)的一年收益下降可能正引起投资者的关注
Simply Wall St ·  12/19 11:22

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. To wit, the Shanghai Chinafortune Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600621) share price is 29% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 9.7% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. However, the stock hasn't done so well in the longer term, with the stock only up 14% in three years.

如果您想在股票市场上复利增值,可以通过购买指数基金来实现。但是,投资者可以通过选择超越市场的公司来增加回报,拥有其股票。因此,华鑫股份有限公司(SHSE:600621)的股价比一年前高出29%,远远超过同期市场约9.7%的回报(不包括分红派息)。所以这应该让股东们感到高兴。然而,从长期来看,这只股票表现不佳,三年来只上涨了14%。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 4.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由于长期表现良好,但最近回调了4.0%,我们来检查一下基本面是否与股价匹配。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是一种反应过度的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度在一段时间内是如何变化的。

During the last year, Shanghai Chinafortune actually saw its earnings per share drop 45%.

在过去的一年里,华鑫股份的每股收益实际上下降了45%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据盈利增长来评估公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有关联,因此值得关注其他指标。

We doubt the modest 0.3% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Shanghai Chinafortune's revenue actually dropped 6.1% over last year. So the fundamental metrics don't provide an obvious explanation for the share price gain.

我们怀疑这0.3%的分红派息收益率对股价的支持作用不大。华鑫股份的营业收入实际上比去年下降了6.1%。因此,基本面指标并没有提供明显的解释,为什么股价会上涨。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下面的图像显示了收益和营业收入随时间的变化情况(如果点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。

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SHSE:600621 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 19th 2024
SHSE:600621 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年12月19日

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

资产负债表的强度至关重要。查看我们免费的报告,了解其财务状况如何随着时间变化,可能非常值得。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Shanghai Chinafortune has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 30% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Chinafortune better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Chinafortune you should be aware of.

很高兴看到华鑫股份在过去十二个月里为股东带来了30%的总股东回报。这其中包括了分红派息。这个收益超过了五年内的年均总股东回报率2%。因此,看起来最近对公司的情绪是积极的。持乐观态度的人可以认为,最近的总股东回报率改善表明该业务本身随着时间的推移在变得更好。长期跟踪股价表现总是有趣的。但要更好地理解华鑫股份,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如:我们已经发现华鑫股份有2个警示信号,你需要注意。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,你可能会通过其他地方寻找一个绝佳的投资机会。所以请查看这个我们预计将增长每股收益的公司免费列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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