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Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export (SZSE:000151) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export (SZSE:000151) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

中国国家完整植物进口与出口(SZSE:000151)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/18 19:52

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies China National Complete Plant Import & Export Corporation Limited (SZSE:000151) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢关注其债务的使用,因为债务负担过重会导致破产。 就像其他许多公司一样,中国国营完整植物进口与出口有限公司(SZSE:000151)也在利用债务。 但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多少风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何时债务成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它就处于他们的控制之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以超低价格发行股份,永久稀释股东的权益,仅仅是为了增强其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并以自身的利益为重。当我们审查债务水平时,首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export's Debt?

中国国营完整植物进口与出口的债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China National Complete Plant Import & Export had debt of CN¥720.8m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥934.4m over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.09b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥365.4m.

下面的图像,您可以点击以获得更多详细信息,显示中国国营完整植物进口与出口在2024年9月底的债务为72080万人民币,比一年前的93440万人民币有所减少。 然而,它有10.9亿人民币的现金抵消这些债务,导致净现金为36540万人民币。

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SZSE:000151 Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024
SZSE:000151 债务与股本历史 2024年12月19日

A Look At China National Complete Plant Import & Export's Liabilities

关于中国国家完整工程进出口公司的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, China National Complete Plant Import & Export had liabilities of CN¥2.00b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥95.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.09b and CN¥731.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥276.9m.

根据最新报告的资产负债表,中国国家完整工程进出口公司有负债20亿人民币,12个月内到期,超过12个月到期的负债为9510万人民币。另一方面,公司有现金10.9亿人民币和73170万人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债比现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多出27690万人民币。

Given China National Complete Plant Import & Export has a market capitalization of CN¥5.34b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, China National Complete Plant Import & Export boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China National Complete Plant Import & Export will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考虑到中国国家完整工程进出口公司的市值为53.4亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为随时间变化可能会发生变化。尽管负债相当显著,但中国国家完整工程进出口公司却拥有净现金,因此可以说它的债务负担并不重!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但你不能将债务完全孤立地看待;因为中国国家完整工程进出口公司需要收益来偿还这些债务。因此,如果你想更深入了解其收益,查看这张长期收益趋势图或许是值得的。

In the last year China National Complete Plant Import & Export had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 60%, to CN¥1.7b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

在过去一年中,中国国家完整工程进出口公司在利息和税前亏损,营业收入实际上缩减了60%,降至17亿人民币。坦白说,这并不是一个好预兆。

So How Risky Is China National Complete Plant Import & Export?

那么,中国国家完整工程进出口公司有多大风险?

While China National Complete Plant Import & Export lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥314m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China National Complete Plant Import & Export that you should be aware of.

虽然中国国家完整工程进出口公司在息前税(EBIT)层面上亏损,但它实际上产生了积极的自由现金流31400万人民币。因此,尽管它在亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太多短期的资产负债表风险。随着营业收入增长的乏力,我们真的需要看到一些积极的EBIT,才能对这项业务充满热情。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最能了解债务。但是,最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们已经发现中国国家完整工程进出口公司有一个需要注意的警示信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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