Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) (SZSE:002463) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) (SZSE:002463) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002463) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本说得很好,‘波动性并不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。’ 当我们考虑一家公司有多大的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看它的债务使用情况,因为债务负担过重可能导致破产。我们注意到,沪电股份(昆山)有限公司(SZSE:002463)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,要么是通过筹集资本,要么是通过自身的现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷方可能会控制业务。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司不得不以低价筹集新股本,因此永久性稀释股东权益。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是在它替代了能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释。当考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是查看它的现金和债务总和。
What Is Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan)'s Net Debt?
沪电股份(昆山)的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) had CN¥3.44b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.52b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥2.53b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥916.6m.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,沪电股份(昆山)的债务为34.4亿人民币,比一年前的25.2亿人民币有所增加。然而,它也有25.3亿人民币的现金,因此其净债务为91660万人民币。
A Look At Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan)'s Liabilities
审视沪电股份(昆山)的负债
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) had liabilities of CN¥7.19b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥923.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.53b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.04b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.55b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看到,沪电股份(昆山)在一年内到期的负债为人民币71.9亿,超过一年到期的负债为人民币92310万。抵消这些义务,它有人民币25.3亿的现金,以及价值人民币30.4亿的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和,达到人民币25.5亿。
Of course, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) has a titanic market capitalization of CN¥74.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) has a very light debt load indeed.
当然,沪电股份(昆山)拥有人民币747亿的庞大市值,因此这些负债可能是可管理的。但负债的数量足以让我们建议股东继续关注资产负债表。几乎没有净债务的沪电股份(昆山)的债务负担确实非常轻。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我们通过查看公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比例来衡量公司相对于其收益能力的债务负担,以及计算其息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖利息支出的能力(利息覆盖率)。因此,我们在考虑收益时同时考虑了折旧与摊销费用及不考虑这些费用的情况。
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) has net debt of just 0.30 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) has boosted its EBIT by 65%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
沪电股份(昆山)的净债务仅为EBITDA的0.30倍,这表明它可以在不费力的情况下增加杠杆。但是,真正酷的是,在过去的一年中,它实际上获得的利息超过了支付的利息。所以毫无疑问,这家公司能够在保持冷静的情况下承担债务。除此之外,我们很高兴地报告,沪电股份(昆山)的EBIT增长了65%,从而减少了未来偿债的威胁。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到了大部分债务知识。但未来的收益,尤为重要,将判断沪电股份(昆山)未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想了解专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,虽然税务官可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款机构只接受冷硬现金。 所以我们显然需要看一下,EBIT是否会导致相应的自由现金流。在过去三年中,沪电股份(昆山)记录的自由现金流占其EBIT的52%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税。 这种冷硬的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan)'s demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan)'s use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
好消息是,沪电股份(昆山) 展现出用EBIT来覆盖其利息支出的能力,就像毛茸茸的小狗能让幼儿高兴一样。 而好消息并不止于此,因为其EBIT的增长率也支持了这种印象! 从更大的视角来看,我们认为沪电股份(昆山)的债务使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担心。 毕竟,合理的杠杆可以提升股本回报。 资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,每个公司都可能存在资产负债表外的风险。 我们已经识别出沪电股份(昆山)的一个警告信号,理解这些应该是你投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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