Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300999) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300999) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' (SZSE:300999) stock is up by a considerable 34% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' ROE today.
金龙鱼(SZSE:300999)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了34%。然而,我们决定关注公司的基本面,而这些基本面似乎并未清楚地表明公司的财务健康状况。特别是,我们今天将关注金龙鱼的ROE。
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
股本回报率(ROE)是用于评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股东权益回报率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股东权益回报率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings is:
根据上述公式,金龙鱼的ROE为:
2.1% = CN¥2.1b ÷ CN¥97b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
2.1% = CN¥21亿 ÷ CN¥970亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.
'回报'是指业务在过去一年中赚取的收入。这意味着,对于每1 CN¥的股东权益,公司产生了0.02 CN¥的利润。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。
A Side By Side comparison of Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE
金龙鱼的收益增长与2.1%的ROE的并行比较
It is hard to argue that Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 23% seen by Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很难说金龙鱼的ROE本身就很好。即使与平均行业ROE的7.6%相比,该公司的ROE也相当糟糕。在这种情况下,金龙鱼在过去五年中净利润下降23%并不令人惊讶。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的分红派息比例非常高,或者面临竞争压力。
So, as a next step, we compared Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 2.5% over the last few years.
因此,作为下一步,我们将金龙鱼的业绩与行业进行了比较,令人失望的是,尽管公司收益在缩减,但该行业在过去几年中收益的增长率为2.5%。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is 300999 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 300999 is currently mispriced by the market.
盈利增长是评估股票时需要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或其缺乏是否已经反映在股票价格中。这有助于他们判断股票的未来是光明还是黯淡。300999今天值多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图帮助可视化300999当前是否被市场低估。
Is Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
金龙鱼是否有效利用其利润?
When we piece together Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings' low three-year median payout ratio of 15% (where it is retaining 85% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
当我们将金龙鱼过去三年的中位派息比率仅为15%(其保留了85%的利润)拼凑在一起时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。当一家公司保留了大部分盈利时,通常不应该出现这种情况。看起来可能还有其他原因可以解释缺乏增长的原因。例如,业务可能正在衰退。
Moreover, Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings has been paying dividends for four years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 26% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings is speculated to rise to 4.7% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.
此外,金龙鱼已经支付了四年的分红,这是一段相当长的时间,这表明管理层必须意识到股东更喜欢稳定的分红,即使盈利在萎缩。根据当前的分析师共识数据,我们可以看到公司未来的派息比率预计在未来三年内将上升到26%。尽管预计派息比率将增加,但金龙鱼的未来ROE预计将上升到4.7%。可能还有其他因素在推动ROE的未来增长。
Summary
总结
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
总的来说,我们对金龙鱼的看法是复杂的。虽然它似乎能够保留大部分利润,但考虑到低ROE,投资者可能并没有从所有的再投资中受益。低收益增长表明我们的理论是正确的。话虽如此,根据当前分析师的估计,我们发现公司的收益增长率预计会有巨大的改善。要了解更多关于公司未来收益增长预测的内容,请查看关于公司分析师预测的免费报告以获取更多信息。
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