Earnings Growth of 2.5% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Westamerica Bancorporation (NASDAQ:WABC) Shareholders
Earnings Growth of 2.5% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Westamerica Bancorporation (NASDAQ:WABC) Shareholders
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Westamerica Bancorporation (NASDAQ:WABC), since the last five years saw the share price fall 23%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.9% in the last week. However, this move may have been influenced by the broader market, which fell 4.0% in that time.
理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应该超越市场平均水平。但每个投资者几乎都可以确定会有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。在这一点上,一些股东可能会对他们在Westamerica Bancorporation(纳斯达克:WABC)的投资产生质疑,因为过去五年股价下跌了23%。此外,过去一周股价下跌了7.9%。然而,这一波动可能受到了更广泛市场的影响,在此期间市场下跌了4.0%。
After losing 7.9% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
在过去一周下降7.9%之后,值得调查一下公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用巴菲特的话说,‘船会在世界各地航行,但平地社会将繁荣。市场上价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异……’一种检查市场情绪如何随着时间变化的方法是观察公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Westamerica Bancorporation actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 13% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在过去五年股价下滑的不幸时期,Westamerica Bancorporation的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年改善了13%。考虑到股价反应,有人可能会怀疑EPS在这一期间是否是商业表现的良好指标(可能由于一次性的损失或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。
Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.
由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得查看其他指标,以尝试理解股价的变动。
Revenue is actually up 12% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.
实际上,营业收入在该时间段内增长了12%。对营业收入和收益的更详细检查可能会解释为何股价停滞不前,也可能不会;这可能是一个机会。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪酬低于同类公司中位数。但虽然首席执行官的薪酬总是值得关注,但真正重要的问题是公司能否在未来实现盈利增长。因此,我们推荐查看这个免费的报告,展示共识预测
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Westamerica Bancorporation the TSR over the last 5 years was -9.8%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR纳入了任何剥离或折扣融资的价值,以及任何分红派息,基于的假设是这些分红派息被再投资。可以公平地说,对于支付分红派息的股票,TSR提供了更全面的视角。我们注意到,对于西美银行,在过去5年中,TSR为-9.8%,这比上述的股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是其分红派息所致!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
Investors in Westamerica Bancorporation had a tough year, with a total loss of 2.8% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 26%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Westamerica Bancorporation is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
投资西美银行公司(Westamerica Bancorporation)的投资者在过去一年中经历了艰难的一年,总损失为2.8%(包括分红派息),而市场的增长约为26%。然而,您需要记住,即使是最好的股票在十二个月的时间里也有可能表现不佳。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化损失1.9%还要糟糕。一般来说,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能会想要研究这只股票,希望它能反弹。我发现从长期来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。尽管如此,您要注意的是,西美银行公司在我们的投资分析中显示出一个警告信号,您应该知道。
But note: Westamerica Bancorporation may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:西美银行公司可能不是最好的买入股票。所以请看一下这份免费列表,上面列出了过去有盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)有趣的公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。