We Think Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We Think Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
我们很容易理解为什么投资者被亏损公司吸引。例如,尽管亚马逊在上市后多年亏损,但如果你从1999年开始购买并持有这些股票,你将赚得盆满钵满。然而,只有傻瓜才会忽视亏损公司过快耗尽现金的风险。
So, the natural question for Prime Medicine (NASDAQ:PRME) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
因此,Prime Medicine(纳斯达克:PRME)股东自然而然会问,他们是否应该关心其现金消耗的速度。在本文中,我们将现金消耗定义为其年度(负的)自由现金流,这是一家公司每年用于资助其增长的金额。首先,我们将通过比较其现金消耗与现金储备来判断其现金能持续的时间。
Does Prime Medicine Have A Long Cash Runway?
Prime Medicine是否拥有较长的现金储备?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In September 2024, Prime Medicine had US$176m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$190m. That means it had a cash runway of around 11 months as of September 2024. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
公司的现金能持续的时间是通过将其现金储备除以现金消耗来计算的。在2024年9月,Prime Medicine拥有17600万美元现金,并且没有债务。回顾去年,公司消耗了19000万美元的现金。这意味着截至2024年9月,公司有大约11个月的现金储备。坦率地说,这种较短的现金储备让我们感到不安,因为这表明公司必须大幅减少现金消耗,否则就要立即筹集现金。下面的图像显示了其现金余额在过去几年中的变化。
How Is Prime Medicine's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Prime Medicine的现金消耗随时间变化情况如何?
Whilst it's great to see that Prime Medicine has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$800k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. With the cash burn rate up 16% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
虽然看到Prime Medicine已经开始从业务中产生营业收入是件好事,但去年仅产生了80万美元,因此我们认为目前它的营业收入不算显著。因此,我们认为现在关注营业收入增长为时尚早,所以我们将限制自己只关注现金消耗随时间的变化。由于现金消耗率在去年增加了16%,似乎公司正在逐步加大对业务的投资。这不一定是一件坏事,但投资者应该注意,这将缩短现金储备。然而,显然,关键因素是公司未来是否会增长。因此,您可能想看看公司预计在未来几年内的增长情况。
Can Prime Medicine Raise More Cash Easily?
Prime Medicine能更容易地筹集资金吗?
Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Prime Medicine shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
由于其现金消耗在错误的方向上,Prime Medicine的股东可能希望考虑公司何时需要筹集更多资金。公司可以通过债务或股权来筹集资金。上市公司的主要优势之一是可以向投资者出售股票以筹集现金并资助增长。我们可以将公司的现金消耗与其市值进行比较,以了解公司需要发行多少新股来资助一年的运营。
Prime Medicine has a market capitalisation of US$371m and burnt through US$190m last year, which is 51% of the company's market value. That's high expenditure relative to the value of the entire company, so if it does have to issue shares to fund more growth, that could end up really hurting shareholders returns (through significant dilution).
Prime Medicine的市值为37100万美元,去年消耗了19000万美元,这占公司市值的51%。相对于整个公司的价值,这个支出很高,因此如果它确实需要发行股票以资助更多的增长,这可能会严重损害股东的回报(通过显著稀释)。
So, Should We Worry About Prime Medicine's Cash Burn?
那么,我们应该担心Prime Medicine的现金消耗吗?
We must admit that we don't think Prime Medicine is in a very strong position, when it comes to its cash burn. Although we can understand if some shareholders find its increasing cash burn acceptable, we can't ignore the fact that we consider its cash burn relative to its market cap to be downright troublesome. After looking at that range of measures, we think shareholders should be extremely attentive to how the company is using its cash, as the cash burn makes us uncomfortable. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 6 warning signs for Prime Medicine (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们必须承认,在现金消耗方面,Prime Medicine的状况并不强劲。虽然我们可以理解一些股东可能认为其不断增加的现金消耗是可以接受的,但我们无法忽视相对于其市值,我们认为其现金消耗确实令人不安。经过对一系列指标的观察,我们认为股东应对公司如何使用其现金保持高度关注,因为现金消耗让我们感到不安。另一方面,我们对公司进行了深入调查,识别出了Prime Medicine的6个警告信号(其中3个令人担忧!),在您投资之前,请您务必了解这些信号。
Of course Prime Medicine may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
当然,Prime Medicine可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这份自由获取的关于高股本回报的公司集合,或者这份高内部持股的股票列表。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。