It's not a stretch to say that Mercury General Corporation's (NYSE:MCY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Insurance industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Mercury General Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Mercury General has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Mercury General's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Mercury General's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 36% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.3% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.8%, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's understandable that Mercury General's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
What Does Mercury General's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Mercury General's revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Mercury General you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Mercury General, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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