Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMLX) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 71% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.9x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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How Is Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 33%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 77% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 20% per annum, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' P/S
Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
It's clear to see that Amylyx Pharmaceuticals maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Amylyx Pharmaceuticals' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Amylyx Pharmaceuticals you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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