Enbridge (TSX:ENB) recently gave back some of its 2024 gains. Investors who missed the surge in recent months are wondering if ENB stock is now cheap and good to buy for a self-directed Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) or Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) focused on dividends and long-term total returns.
Enbridge stock
Enbridge trades close to $58 per share at the time of writing compared to around $62 a few weeks ago. Despite the pullback, the stock is still up 21% in 2024.
Interest rates have been the big story for pipeline and utility stocks over the past two years, and that remains the case today.
Enbridge uses debt to fund part of its growth program, which includes acquisitions and organic development projects. The sharp increase in interest rates in Canada and the United States through the second half of 2022 and much of 2023 triggered concerns that Enbridge might have to trim the dividend to preserve cash as debt costs soared. This led to a pullback in the share price from $59 in June 2022 to a low of around $44 in the fall of 2023.
Around that time, the central banks said they were done raising interest rates. Market sentiment then shifted from fears of higher rates to expectations of rate cuts. Bargain hunters moved into the stock, sending it gradually higher. As rate cuts emerged in Canada and the United States in the past six months, Enbridge's rally picked up steam.
The recent dip is due to new concerns that the U.S. Federal Reserve is not going to reduce rates as quickly or by as much as previously anticipated in 2025. In fact, the Fed recently said it is only targeting two cuts of 0.25% in 2025 compared to the four cuts expected just a few months ago. Sticky inflation and a tight jobs market are forcing the central bank to be cautious.
If Donald Trump implements planned tariffs on goods entering the U.S. next year, inflation could surge as businesses pass the higher costs on to consumers. In a worst-case scenario, the central bank would have to start raising interest rates again to keep inflation from getting out of control.
This would likely put new pressure on dividend stocks, including Enbridge.
Growth
Enbridge wrapped up its US$14 billion purchase of three American natural gas utilities in 2024. The company is also working on a $27 billion capital program. The new assets will boost revenue and cash flow in the next few years. This should support steady dividend increases.
Enbridge raised the dividend in each of the past 30 years. Investors who buy the stock at the current price can get a dividend yield of 6.4%.
The bottom line on ENB stock
Near-term volatility should be expected, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see a better entry point in the coming months. That being said, investors seeking high-yield passive income might want to start nibbling at this level and look to add on any further downside.
Enbridge(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:ENB)最近回吐了2024年的部分涨幅。最近几个月错过飙升的投资者想知道eNB股票现在是否便宜,是否适合购买以股息和长期总回报为重点的自管免税储蓄账户(TFSA)或注册退休储蓄计划(RRSP)。
Enbridge股票
在撰写本文时,Enbridge的交易价格接近每股58美元,而几周前约为62美元。尽管出现回调,但该股在2024年仍上涨了21%。
在过去的两年中,利率一直是管道和公用事业股的头条新闻,今天仍然如此。
Enbridge使用债务为其增长计划的一部分提供资金,其中包括收购和有机开发项目。到2022年下半年和2023年的大部分时间,加拿大和美国的利率急剧上升,引发了人们的担忧,即随着债务成本的飙升,Enbridge可能不得不削减股息以保留现金。这导致股价从2022年6月的59美元回落至2023年秋季的44美元左右的低点。
大约在那个时候,各国央行表示他们已经完成了加息。 市场情绪 然后从对提高利率的担忧转变为对降息的预期。讨价还价者进入该股,使其逐渐走高。随着加拿大和美国在过去六个月中出现降息,恩布里奇的涨势有所加强。
最近的下跌是由于人们担心美联储在2025年降息的速度不会像先前预期的那样迅速或降幅那么大。实际上,美联储最近表示,与几个月前预期的四次削减相比,其目标仅为2025年两次削减0.25%。粘性通货膨胀和紧张的就业市场迫使央行保持谨慎。
如果唐纳德·特朗普明年对进入美国的商品实施计划中的关税,随着企业将更高的成本转嫁给消费者,通货膨胀率可能会飙升。在最坏的情况下,央行将不得不再次开始提高利率,以防止通货膨胀失控。
这可能会给包括Enbridge在内的股息股票带来新的压力。
成长
恩布里奇在2024年完成了对三家美国天然气公用事业公司的140亿美元收购。该公司还在制定一项270亿美元的资本计划。新资产将在未来几年内增加收入和现金流。这应该支持股息的稳步增长。
在过去的30年中,恩布里奇每年都提高股息。以当前价格购买股票的投资者可以获得6.4%的股息收益率。
eNB 股票的底线
短期波动是可以预料的,未来几个月看到更好的切入点也就不足为奇了。话虽如此,寻求高收益被动收益的投资者可能希望在这个水平上开始蚕食,并希望进一步增加下行空间。