Sunyard Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600571) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 35% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.8% isn't as attractive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Sunyard TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.4x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Sunyard TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Sunyard TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sunyard TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sunyard TechnologyLtd?
Sunyard TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 30% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Sunyard TechnologyLtd's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From Sunyard TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Sunyard TechnologyLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Sunyard TechnologyLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sunyard TechnologyLtd you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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