With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.6x Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002668) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 37x and even P/E's higher than 72x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 26% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.8% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances' P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Guangdong TCL Smart Home Appliances with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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