Is Shandong Xiantan (SZSE:002746) A Risky Investment?
Is Shandong Xiantan (SZSE:002746) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shandong Xiantan Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002746) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说波动性而不是债务是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过: '波动性远非风险的同义词。' 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢查看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,仙坛股份有限公司 (SZSE:002746) 也利用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务在企业能够用新资本或自由现金流偿还之前,都是在助其发展。然而,最坏的情况下,如果公司无法支付债权人,可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价新融资,从而导致股东的永久性稀释。当然,很多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先会看现金与债务的结合。
How Much Debt Does Shandong Xiantan Carry?
仙坛股份的债务有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shandong Xiantan had debt of CN¥1.28b, up from CN¥902.9m in one year. But it also has CN¥3.86b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.58b net cash.
下面的图片可点击查看更详细的信息,显示截至2024年9月,仙坛股份的债务为CN¥12.8亿,较一年前的CN¥90290万有所增加。但它也有CN¥38.6亿的现金来抵消这些债务,这意味着它净现金为CN¥25.8亿。
A Look At Shandong Xiantan's Liabilities
审视仙坛股份的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Xiantan had liabilities of CN¥2.38b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥249.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.86b and CN¥149.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.38b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
详细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到仙坛股份有23.8亿人民币的负债在12个月内到期,24950万人民币的负债在更长时间内到期。另一方面,它有38.6亿人民币的现金和14990万人民币的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,它实际上具有比总负债多出13.8亿人民币的流动资产。
It's good to see that Shandong Xiantan has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Shandong Xiantan boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shandong Xiantan's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
很高兴看到仙坛股份的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明其对负债的管理较为保守。由于其强劲的净资产状况,它不太可能面临债权人的问题。简单来说,仙坛股份拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它没有沉重的债务负担! 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。但更重要的是,未来的盈利能力将判断仙坛股份能否在未来保持健康的资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
In the last year Shandong Xiantan had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥5.3b. We would much prefer see growth.
在过去的一年中,仙坛股份在利息和税前有亏损,实际营业收入下降了11%,降至53亿人民币。我们更希望看到增长。
So How Risky Is Shandong Xiantan?
那么仙坛股份的风险大吗?
While Shandong Xiantan lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥71m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shandong Xiantan (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
尽管仙坛股份在利息和税前(EBIT)层面上亏损,但它实际上报告了7100万人民币的纸面利润。因此,基于这些数据,加上现金,我们认为在短期内它风险并不大。 由于在过去一年中收入增长平平,我们觉得这个投资机会并不特别吸引人。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但最终,每个公司都可能包含资产负债表外存在的风险。例如,我们已经识别出仙坛股份的3个警告信号(其中2个不应被忽视),你应该引起注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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