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Is North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd (SZSE:000059) A Risky Investment?

Is North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd (SZSE:000059) A Risky Investment?

北华锦化工有限公司(深交所:000059)是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/20 12:29

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that North Huajin Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000059) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持过的)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。’因此,似乎聪明的钱知道,在评估一家公司的风险时,债务——通常与破产相关——是一个非常重要的因素。我们注意到华锦股份(SZSE:000059)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险较大。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务对业务的支持持续到经营出现还款困难时,无论是通过新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,就可能面临破产。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们确实会看到负债公司因贷方迫使其以困境价格筹集资金而永久性稀释股东权益。当然,很多公司使用债务来支持增长,而没有任何负面后果。在考虑一家公司使用多少债务时,首先要将其现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd's Debt?

华锦股份的债务是多少?

As you can see below, North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd had CN¥10.1b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥11.1b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.90b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥5.22b.

正如您在下面看到的,华锦股份在2024年9月的债务为101亿人民币,较一年前的111亿人民币有所下降。然而,由于它有49亿人民币的现金储备,其净债务则更少,约为52.2亿人民币。

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SZSE:000059 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2024
SZSE:000059 债务与股本历史 2024年12月20日

How Healthy Is North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd's Balance Sheet?

华锦股份的资产负债表健康吗?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.10b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.10b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.90b as well as receivables valued at CN¥212.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥9.09b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,华锦股份的短期负债为61亿人民币,同时长期负债为81亿人民币。抵消这些义务,它有49亿人民币的现金,以及在12个月内到期的应收款项总额为21290万元。所以,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款总和多出90.9亿人民币。

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥8.01b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

考虑到这种缺口超过了公司80.1亿人民币的市值,你可能会倾向于仔细审查资产负债表。假设,如果公司被迫通过在当前股价上增发股份来偿还负债,那么将需要极高的稀释。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。但更重要的是,未来的收益将决定华锦股份未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。所以,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥38b, which is a fall of 19%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在过去的12个月里,华锦股份在EBIT层面上亏损,营业收入降至380亿人民币,下降了19%。这并不是我们所希望见到的情况。

Caveat Emptor

买者自负盈亏

Not only did North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping CN¥1.1b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through CN¥359m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for North Huajin Chemical IndustriesLtd you should be aware of.

不仅华锦股份的营业收入在过去的十二个月里下滑,而且它还产生了负的息税前利润(EBIT)。其EBIT亏损高达11亿人民币。当我们将这一点与巨额债务相结合时,我们对这家公司并不是特别有信心。我们希望在对这只股票感兴趣之前看到一些强有力的短期改善。更何况在过去一年中它的自由现金流为负,消耗了35900万元。这意味着它处于风险较高的状态。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的地方。然而,并非所有投资风险都体现在资产负债表中——远非如此。举个例子:我们注意到华锦股份有1个你应该注意的警示信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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