US Stocks 'Likely' Heading for Correction Amid Recent Volatility, Analyst Says: 'But There Are Still A Couple Of Years Left...'
US Stocks 'Likely' Heading for Correction Amid Recent Volatility, Analyst Says: 'But There Are Still A Couple Of Years Left...'
"A correction is likely. But there are still a couple of years left in this bull market," he said. Amid recent fluctuations, the stock market is showing signs of a potential correction, according to experts. This follows a rebound after a significant selloff, with the S&P 500 just 3.6% shy of its all-time high, according to Benzinga Pro, despite a nearly 3% drop on Wednesday. This decline came after the Federal Reserve updated its inflation and interest rate outlook for 2025.
在近期波动中，专家表示股市显示出潜在修正的迹象。这是继重大抛售后的反弹，根据Benzinga Pro的数据显示，标准普尔500指数离历史最高点仅差3.6%，尽管在周三下跌了近3%。此次下跌发生在美联储更新了2025年的通胀和利率展望之后。
What Happened: The S&P 500 would need to fall to 5,481 to enter correction territory, which would represent a 10% drop from its peak. The last correction was noted in October 2023, as per Dow Jones Market Data. Despite the recent dip, the S&P 500 has risen 4.6% since Election Day, leading to high valuations, Barron's reported on Friday.
发生了什么：标准普尔500指数需要下跌到5,481才能进入修正区间，这将代表从高峰下跌10%。根据道琼斯市场数据，上一次修正发生在2023年10月。尽管最近有所下跌，但自选举日以来，标准普尔500指数已上涨4.6%，这导致估值偏高，《巴伦周刊》在周五报道。
John Bartleman, CEO of TradeStation, suggests that a correction could be beneficial, potentially curbing excessive market exuberance.
TradeStation首席执行官约翰·巴特尔曼建议，修正可能是有利的，可能会抑制市场过度乐观的情绪。
"A correction is likely. But there are still a couple of years left in this bull market," he said.
他表示："修正是很可能的。但在这个牛市中还有几年时间。"
Nancy Curtin, CIO at AlTi Tiedemann Global, views a correction as a potential buying opportunity. Meanwhile, Bret Kenwell of eToro points out that mild inflation and strong earnings forecasts for 2025 could bolster future market growth.
阿尔蒂·泰德曼全球的首席投资官南希·库尔廷将修正视为潜在的买入机会。同时，eToro的布雷特·肯威尔指出，温和的通胀和2025年的强劲收益预期可能会推动未来市场的增长。
Analysts are forecasting a 15% increase in S&P 500 profits next year, followed by another 13% rise in 2026. Lule Demmissie of Apex Fintech Solutions considers the current pullback as healthy, emphasizing the robust U.S. economy and sustained investor interest in tech stocks.
分析师预测，标准普尔500指数的利润在明年将增长15%，2026年再增长13%。Apex Fintech Solutions的卢勒·德米西认为，目前的回调是健康的，强调了美国经济的强劲和投资者对科技股票的持续兴趣。
Why It Matters: The potential for a market correction is underscored by concerns over U.S. economic growth and corporate earnings.
为什么重要：市场修正的潜力被对美国经济增长和企业盈利的担忧所强调。
Wharton's Jeremy Siegel also called the stock selloff in recent days a "healthy" reaction to the Federal Reserve's cautious approach regarding interest rate cuts the future.
沃顿商学院的杰里米·西格尔也称最近几天的股票抛售是对美联储在未来利率削减方面谨慎态度的"健康"反应。
Brian Arcese of Foord Asset Management has highlighted these issues as potential catalysts for a correction. Arcese notes that the S&P 500 has been "expensive for quite a while," with a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 27. He suggests that a correction would be healthy, but it would require a catalyst, such as slowing economic growth or rising inflation, to occur.
Foord 资产管理的布赖恩·阿塞斯强调了这些问题作为可能导致修正的催化剂。阿塞斯指出，标普500指数一直以来"价格昂贵，"市盈率超过27。他建议，修正是健康的，但需要一个催化剂，例如经济增长放缓或通货膨胀上升，才能发生。
Price Action: According to Benzinga Pro, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) was down by 1.06% while Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ) was down by 1.24%.
价格走势：根据Benzinga Pro，SPDR 标普500指数ETF（纽交所：SPY）下跌了1.06%，而纳指100ETF-Invesco QQQ Trust（纳斯达克：QQQ）下跌了1.24%。
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Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
免责声明：此内容部分由Benzinga Neuro生成，并由Benzinga编辑审核和发布。
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