Despite an already strong run, TVZone Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603721) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 10% is also fairly reasonable.
After such a large jump in price, TVZone Media may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16.2x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Entertainment industry in China have P/S ratios under 8x and even P/S lower than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does TVZone Media's Recent Performance Look Like?
TVZone Media has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TVZone Media's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, TVZone Media would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 6.2% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that TVZone Media's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From TVZone Media's P/S?
TVZone Media's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that TVZone Media currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for TVZone Media (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of TVZone Media's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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