ASR Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688220) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think ASR Microelectronics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Semiconductor industry is similar at about 7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has ASR Microelectronics Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ASR Microelectronics has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think ASR Microelectronics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, ASR Microelectronics would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 37% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 82% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 28% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 48% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that ASR Microelectronics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
ASR Microelectronics appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of ASR Microelectronics' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ASR Microelectronics that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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