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Is Pengxin International MiningLtd (SHSE:600490) A Risky Investment?

Is Pengxin International MiningLtd (SHSE:600490) A Risky Investment?

鹏欣国际矿业有限公司(SHSE:600490)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/21 07:00

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本恰当地说过:‘波动性不是我们所关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。’ 所以似乎聪明的钱知道债务——通常与破产有关——在评估一家公司的风险时是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,鹏欣资源有限公司(SHSE:600490)也利用了债务。但这对股东来说是一个问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何时债务成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

企业的债务和其他负债在无法轻松履行这些义务时变得有风险,要么是通过自由现金流,要么是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资金。最终,如果公司无法履行其法律债务偿还义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东,仅仅是为了控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。考虑一家公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Pengxin International MiningLtd Carry?

鹏欣资源有限公司背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pengxin International MiningLtd had debt of CN¥681.5m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥817.6m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥990.5m in cash, so it actually has CN¥308.9m net cash.

下图可以点击以获取更详细的信息,显示鹏欣资源有限公司在2024年9月底的债务为68150万CN¥,较一年前的81760万CN¥有所减少。然而,它的资产负债表显示其持有99050万CN¥的现金,因此实际上它拥有30890万CN¥的净现金。

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SHSE:600490 Debt to Equity History December 20th 2024
SHSE:600490 债务与股本历史 2024年12月20日

A Look At Pengxin International MiningLtd's Liabilities

鹏欣资源有限公司的负债情况分析

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Pengxin International MiningLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.65b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥140.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥990.5m and CN¥178.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥616.3m.

从最近的资产负债表中可以看到,鹏欣资源有限公司有到期负债16.5亿人民币,和在未来到期的负债14050万元。另一方面,鹏欣资源有限公司拥有9995万元的现金和17890万元的应收账款。因此,其负债超出了现金和(短期)应收账款的总和61630万元。

Of course, Pengxin International MiningLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.41b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Pengxin International MiningLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Pengxin International MiningLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

当然,鹏欣资源有限公司的市值为84.1亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可控的。但是,我们认为值得关注其资产负债表的健康状况,因为这可能会随着时间的推移而变化。虽然它有一些值得注意的负债,但鹏欣资源有限公司的现金多于债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理其债务。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但是,最终影响资产负债表未来表现的是鹏欣资源有限公司的盈利情况。如果你想了解更多关于其盈利的信息,值得查看一下其长期盈利趋势的图表。

Over 12 months, Pengxin International MiningLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥4.5b, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在过去的12个月里,鹏欣资源有限公司在EBIT层面出现了亏损,营业收入下降到45亿人民币,下降幅度为29%。这让我们不禁有些担忧。

So How Risky Is Pengxin International MiningLtd?

那么,鹏欣资源有限公司有多大的风险呢?

Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And in the last year Pengxin International MiningLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥444m and booked a CN¥181m accounting loss. However, it has net cash of CN¥308.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Pengxin International MiningLtd that you should be aware of.

从统计学上讲,亏损的公司比盈利的公司风险更高。而在过去一年中,鹏欣资源有限公司确实有利息和税前收入(EBIT)亏损。同时,在同一时期,其自由现金流出现了负流出,达到44400万元,并记录了18100万元的会计损失。然而,它拥有30890万元的净现金,因此在需要更多资金之前还有一些时间。总体来说,我们认为这只股票风险略高,通常在看到正的自由现金流之前我们会非常谨慎。分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在书外的风险。举例来说,我们发现了鹏欣资源有限公司一个需要关注的警示信号。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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