Cambricon Technologies (SHSE:688256) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans
Cambricon Technologies (SHSE:688256) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. Indeed, Cambricon Technologies (SHSE:688256) stock is up 360% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
我们很容易理解为什么投资者会被亏损的公司吸引。实际上,寒武纪-U(SHSE:688256)股票在过去一年中上涨了360%,为股东带来了丰厚的收益。但尽管历史赞美那些稀有的成功,失败的案例往往被遗忘;谁还记得Pets.com?
So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Cambricon Technologies' cash burn is too risky. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
因此,尽管股价高昂,我们认为值得问问寒武纪-U的现金消耗是否太过冒险。在本文中,我们将现金消耗定义为其年度(负)自由现金流,即公司每年为维持其增长而支出的资金。我们将先比较其现金消耗与现金储备,以计算其现金储备的持续时间。
How Long Is Cambricon Technologies' Cash Runway?
寒武纪-U的现金持续时间有多长?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at September 2024, Cambricon Technologies had cash of CN¥2.6b and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥2.1b over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2024 it had roughly 15 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
公司的现金持续时间是指以当前的现金消耗率消耗现金储备需要的时间。截止到2024年9月,寒武纪-U的现金为26亿人民币,无负债。重要的是,其现金消耗在过去十二个月为21亿人民币。因此,从2024年9月开始,它大约有15个月的现金储备。虽然这个现金持续时间不是太令人担忧,但理性的持有者会关注未来,并考虑假如公司用光现金会发生什么。您可以在下图中看到其现金余额随时间的变化。
How Well Is Cambricon Technologies Growing?
寒武纪-U的成长情况如何?
Notably, Cambricon Technologies actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 166%, signifying heavy investment in the business. But the silver lining is that operating revenue increased by 24% in that time. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
值得注意的是,寒武纪-U在过去一年中实际大幅提高了其现金消耗,增幅高达166%,这表明对业务的重投资。但好的一面是,在此期间营业收入增长了24%。考虑到这两个指标,我们对公司的发展有些担忧。虽然过去总是值得研究,但未来才是最重要的。因此,您可能要看看公司在未来几年内的预期增长。
How Hard Would It Be For Cambricon Technologies To Raise More Cash For Growth?
寒武纪-U科技要筹集更多现金以支持增长会有多困难?
Given the trajectory of Cambricon Technologies' cash burn, many investors will already be thinking about how it might raise more cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
鉴于寒武纪-U的现金消耗轨迹,许多投资者可能已经在考虑它未来如何筹集更多资金。一般来说,一家上市公司可以通过发行股票或借债来筹集新现金。通常,企业会卖出自己新发行的股票以筹集资金并推动增长。我们可以将公司的现金消耗与其市值进行比较,以了解公司需要发行多少新股以资助一年的运营。
Cambricon Technologies has a market capitalisation of CN¥282b and burnt through CN¥2.1b last year, which is 0.8% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
寒武纪-U的市值为2820亿人民币,去年消耗了21亿人民币,这占公司市值的0.8%。这意味着它可以轻松发行一些股票以资助更多增长,并且可能有能力以低廉的利率借款。
So, Should We Worry About Cambricon Technologies' Cash Burn?
那么,我们是否需要担心寒武纪-U的现金消耗?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Cambricon Technologies' cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Cambricon Technologies' situation. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Cambricon Technologies that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
尽管其不断增加的现金消耗让我们有点紧张,但我们必须提到,我们认为寒武纪-U的现金消耗相对于其市值是相对乐观的。虽然我们是那种始终对现金消耗型公司风险感到担忧的投资者,但我们在本文中讨论的指标让我们对寒武纪-U的情况感到相对放心。在投资股票之前,读者需要对业务风险有清晰的认识,而我们发现寒武纪-U存在1个警示信号,潜在股东在投资股票之前应考虑这个问题。
If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.
如果你更倾向于查看其他基本面更好的公司,那么不要错过这份有趣公司的免费列表,这些公司都有高投资回报率和低债务,或者这份预测增长的股票列表。
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