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Is IFLYTEKLTD (SZSE:002230) A Risky Investment?

Is IFLYTEKLTD (SZSE:002230) A Risky Investment?

IFLYTEKLTD (SZSE:002230) 是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  08:46

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that iFLYTEK CO.,LTD (SZSE:002230) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录直言不讳地表示,'最大投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,科大讯飞股份有限公司(深交所代码:002230)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得有风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时会变得危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行债务和其他负债时,这些负债就变得风险极大,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资金。在最糟糕的情况下,如果公司无法支付其债权人,则可能会破产。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因债权人迫使他们以低价筹集资金而永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务的好处在于,它通常代表低成本的资本,特别是当它能够替代一个能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务结合在一起考虑。

What Is iFLYTEKLTD's Debt?

科大讯飞的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 iFLYTEKLTD had CN¥8.61b of debt, an increase on CN¥4.78b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.75b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥5.86b.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,科大讯飞的债务为86.1亿人民币,较一年前的47.8亿人民币有所增加。另一方面,它有27.5亿人民币的现金,因此净债务约为58.6亿人民币。

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SZSE:002230 Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2024
深交所:002230债务与权益历史 2024年12月22日

How Healthy Is iFLYTEKLTD's Balance Sheet?

iFLYTEKLTD的资产负债表健康状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that iFLYTEKLTD had liabilities of CN¥14.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.72b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.75b and CN¥16.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,iFLYTEKLTD有短期负债143亿人民币和长期负债87.2亿人民币。另一方面,iFLYTEKLTD有现金27.5亿人民币和短期应收账款162亿人民币。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款之和多出41亿人民币。

Given iFLYTEKLTD has a humongous market capitalization of CN¥118.7b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if iFLYTEKLTD can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

考虑到iFLYTEKLTD拥有1187亿人民币的巨额市值,我们很难相信这些负债会构成多大威胁。但是这些负债确实足够多,我们一定会建议股东继续关注资产负债表。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的重点。但是,最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定iFLYTEKLTD能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。

Over 12 months, iFLYTEKLTD reported revenue of CN¥22b, which is a gain of 17%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

在过去的12个月里,iFLYTEKLTD报告的营业收入为220亿人民币,增长了17%,尽管没有报告税息前利润。这个增长速度对我们来说有点慢,但世界上需要各种类型。

Caveat Emptor

买者自负盈亏

Over the last twelve months iFLYTEKLTD produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥403m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥4.0b of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for iFLYTEKLTD you should be aware of.

在过去的12个月里,iFLYTEKLTD产生了税息前利润(EBIT)损失。具体来说,EBIT损失为40300万人民币。当我们看到这些并回顾其资产负债表上的负债相对于现金时,我们认为公司有任何债务都是不明智的。坦率地说,我们认为资产负债表距离适合匹配还有很长的路要走,尽管随着时间的推移可能会有所改善。然而,过去一年它消耗了40亿人民币的现金也无助于改善情况。因此,可以说我们确实认为股票是有风险的。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表无疑是一个明显的起点。但是,最终每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。举个例子:我们注意到iFLYTEKLTD有1个需要你注意的警告信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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