Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group (SHSE:600210) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group (SHSE:600210) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600210) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,他提到,与其担心股票价格的波动,不如担心“永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险……每一个我认识的实用投资者也都在担心这个。”所以,聪明的钱知道,债务——通常与破产有关——在评估一家公司风险时是一个非常重要的因素。重要的是,紫江企业集团有限公司(SHSE:600210)确实有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得有风险。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其贷款者,那么它就处于他们的任意之下。资本主义的一部分是'创造性毁灭'的过程,失败的企业会被其银行家无情清算。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以超低价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,仅仅是为了改善其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它通常表现为廉价资本,特别是当它在能够以高回报率再投资的公司中替代稀释时。当我们检视债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's Debt?
紫江企业集团的债务是什么?
As you can see below, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group had CN¥3.57b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥3.85b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.33b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.25b.
正如您在下面看到的,紫江企业集团在2024年9月的债务为35.7亿人民币,比去年减少了38.5亿人民币。另一方面,它有23.3亿人民币的现金,导致净债务约为12.5亿人民币。
How Strong Is Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's Balance Sheet?
紫江企业的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group had liabilities of CN¥6.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.52b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.33b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.10b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.77b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到紫江企业的负债为66.8亿人民币,12个月内到期的负债为15.2亿人民币。抵消这些义务的是,紫江企业有23.3亿人民币的现金以及21亿人民币的应收款项,这些应收款项在12个月内到期。所以,紫江企业的负债总额比现金和短期应收款项的总和多出37.7亿人民币。
Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group has a market capitalization of CN¥10.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
紫江企业的市值为104亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,它很可能能够筹集资金来改善其资产负债表。然而,仔细考查其偿债能力仍然很有意义。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.99. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 45.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
紫江企业的净债务与EBITDA的比率仅为0.99,属于较低水平。而其EBIT轻松覆盖了利息支出,达到了利息支出的45.5倍。因此,你可以说它的债务威胁并不比一头大象被一只老鼠威胁更多。幸运的是,紫江企业在过去一年中EBIT增长了6.5%,这使得债务负担看起来更加可控。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。但未来的收益,胜过一切,将决定紫江企业未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。所以如果你关注未来,可以查看这个免费的报告,了解分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最后,一项业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润无法满足这一需求。因此,值得检查一下EBIT中有多少是由自由现金流支撑的。在过去的三年中,紫江企业产生的自由现金流占其EBIT的比例高达81%,远超我们的预期。这使得如果需要偿还债务,它的偿还能力相对较好。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group you should be aware of.
好消息是,紫江企业展现了其用EBIT覆盖利息费用的能力,这让我们像小狗让幼儿开心一样。 而这仅仅是好消息的开始,因为其EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力也令人鼓舞。 当我们考虑上述各种因素时,紫江企业在使用债务方面看起来相当明智。 这意味着他们承担了一定的风险,希望能提高股东回报。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中可以学到关于债务的大部分知识。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。 举个例子:我们发现了一个你应该注意的紫江企业的警告信号。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资那些能够在没有债务负担的情况下增长利润的业务,请查看这个自由名单,其中列出了在资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业。
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