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Could The Market Be Wrong About Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Could The Market Be Wrong About Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

考虑到其具有吸引力的财务前景,市场会对拖拉机供应公司(纳斯达克:TSCO)有所误判吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/22 22:53

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) has had a rough week with its share price down 5.6%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Tractor Supply's ROE today.

拖拉机供应公司(纳斯达克:TSCO)在过去一周经历了困难,其股价下跌了5.6%。然而,仔细查看其稳健的财务状况可能会让你改变想法。考虑到基本面通常决定长期市场结果,这家公司值得关注。特别是,我们今天将关注拖拉机供应公司的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

净资产回报率或ROE是评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。简单来说,它用于评估公司相对于其股本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tractor Supply is:

所以,根据上述公式,拖拉机供应公司的ROE为:

49% = US$1.1b ÷ US$2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

49% = 11亿美元 ÷ 23亿美元(基于截至2024年9月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.49 in profit.

“回报”指的是公司在过去一年中的收益。另一种理解方式是,对于每1美元的股本,公司能够赚取0.49美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe衡量公司利润产生效率的程度。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而重新投资或“保留”的利润数量,然后了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比,这种增长率的相对性就越高。

Tractor Supply's Earnings Growth And 49% ROE

拖拉机供应公司的盈利增长和49%的roe

Firstly, we acknowledge that Tractor Supply has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 19% which is quite remarkable. This likely paved the way for the modest 13% net income growth seen by Tractor Supply over the past five years.

首先,我们承认拖拉机供应公司的ROE非常高。此外,该公司的ROE高于行业平均水平19%,这相当显著。这可能为拖拉机供应公司在过去五年中实现适度13%的净利润增长铺平了道路。

We then compared Tractor Supply's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 17% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后,我们将拖拉机供应公司的净利润增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长数据低于同一5年期间行业平均增长率17%,这让人有些担忧。

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NasdaqGS:TSCO Past Earnings Growth December 22nd 2024
纳斯达克GS:TSCO 过去的盈利增长 2024年12月22日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is TSCO worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether TSCO is currently mispriced by the market.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。投资者接下来需要判断的是,预期的盈利增长或缺乏盈利增长是否已经体现在股票价格中。这将帮助他们判断该股票未来是光明还是黯淡。今天TSCO的价值是多少?我们免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图帮助可视化TSCO当前是否被市场错误定价。

Is Tractor Supply Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

拖拉机供应公司有效利用其留存收益吗?

Tractor Supply has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 39% (or a retention ratio of 61%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

拖拉机供应公司拥有健康的三年中位派息率为39%(留存比率为61%)的适中组合,以及如上所述的可观盈利增长,意味着该公司有效地利用了其利润。

Moreover, Tractor Supply is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 43%. As a result, Tractor Supply's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 48% for future ROE.

此外,拖拉机供应公司决心继续与股东分享利润,这从其至少十年的派息历史中可以推断出来。我们最新的分析师数据表明,该公司未来三年的派息率预计约为43%。因此,拖拉机供应公司的ROE预计也不会变化太大,我们从分析师对未来ROE的48%的预测中得出这一结论。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Tractor Supply's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体来说,我们对拖拉机供应公司的表现相当满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司在其业务中大力再投资,并且回报率很高。因此,其盈利的适度增长并不令人惊讶。尽管如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的盈利增长预计将放缓。要了解更多关于该公司的最新分析师预测,请查看这张关于该公司分析师预测的可视化图。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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