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Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2313) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

Shenzhou International Group Holdings Limited (HKG:2313) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

神舟国际集团控股有限公司(香港交易所代码:2313)股票正在下滑,但基本面看起来不错:市场未来会纠正股价吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/22 20:23

Shenzhou International Group Holdings (HKG:2313) has had a rough three months with its share price down 2.5%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhou International Group Holdings' ROE today.

中国国际集团控股(HKG:2313)在过去三个月经历了艰难时期,股价下跌了2.5%。然而,公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务通常与未来的市场价格波动相一致。特别是,我们今天将关注中国国际集团控股的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE即股东权益回报率,是评估公司如何有效地生成股东投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhou International Group Holdings is:

因此,基于上述公式,Shenzhou International Group Holdings的roe为:

16% = CN¥5.4b ÷ CN¥34b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

16% = CN¥54亿 ÷ CN¥340亿(基于截至2024年6月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.16 in profit.

“回报”是年度利润。另一种理解方式是,对于每1港币的股权,该公司能够赚取0.16港币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定ROE作为一个高效的盈利规模可以评估公司未来的收益。根据公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来盈利的能力。假设其他所有条件均保持不变,ROE和利润留存率越高,相对于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhou International Group Holdings' Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

神州国际集团控股的收益增长与16% ROE的并排比较

To start with, Shenzhou International Group Holdings' ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Shenzhou International Group Holdings' net income shrunk at a rate of 2.3% over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

首先,神州国际集团控股的ROE看起来可以接受。尤其是与行业平均11%相比,该公司的ROE显得颇为令人印象深刻。 不用说,我们对神州国际集团控股的净利润在过去五年中以2.3%的速度萎缩感到相当惊讶。基于这一点,我们认为可能还有其他未在本文中讨论的原因在妨碍公司的增长。例如,可能是公司有高分红派息比率,或者业绩分配资本较差。

That being said, we compared Shenzhou International Group Holdings' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将神州国际集团控股的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现该公司尽管收益缩减,而行业在同样的5年期间内实现了15%的收益增长时,我们感到很担忧。

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SEHK:2313 Past Earnings Growth December 23rd 2024
SEHK:2313 过去的收益增长 2024年12月23日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 2313 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

盈利增长是股票估值的一个重要因素。 投资者接下来需要判断的是预期的盈利增长或其缺乏是否已经反映在股价中。 这有助于他们判断股票未来的前景是光明还是悲观。 2313的估值合理吗?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图提供了你所需的一切。

Is Shenzhou International Group Holdings Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

神州国际集团控股公司是否高效地利用其利润?

Shenzhou International Group Holdings has a high three-year median payout ratio of 58% (that is, it is retaining 42% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

神州国际集团控股公司过去三年的中位支付率高达58%(即公司保留了42%的利润)。这表明公司将大部分利润以分红派息的形式支付给股东。这在一定程度上解释了其盈利的下降。由于仅有少量资金重新投资于业务,盈利增长显然将非常低,甚至是不存在的。

Additionally, Shenzhou International Group Holdings has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 67% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Shenzhou International Group Holdings' future ROE will rise to 22% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,神州国际集团控股公司在至少十年间持续支付分红,这意味着公司的管理层决心即使在利润几乎没有增长的情况下也要支付分红。通过研究最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现该公司预计在未来三年将继续支付约67%的利润。尽管公司的支付比例预计变化不大,但预测显示神州国际集团控股公司的未来ROE将上升至22%。

Summary

总结

Overall, we feel that Shenzhou International Group Holdings certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们认为神州国际集团控股确实有一些积极因素值得考虑。 然而,较低的盈利增长让人有些担忧,特别是考虑到公司的高回报率。如果公司能将更多的盈余进行再投资,投资者本可以从高ROE中获益。如前所述,该公司保留了小部分利润。 话虽如此,我们研究了最新的分析师预测,发现虽然公司过去的盈利有所缩减,但分析师预计其未来的盈利将会增长。 要了解更多关于公司最新的分析师预测,请查看此可视化的分析师预测。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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