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The Past Five Years for Fosun International (HKG:656) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

The Past Five Years for Fosun International (HKG:656) Investors Has Not Been Profitable

过去五年,对于复星国际(HKG:656)的投资者而言,并没有盈利。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/23 13:57

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Fosun International Limited (HKG:656) share price up 12% in a single quarter. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 60% in the period. So we're hesitant to put much weight behind the short term increase. But it could be that the fall was overdone.

虽然这对一些股东来说可能不够,但我们认为看到复星国际(HKG:656)的股价在一个季度上涨12%是件好事。但别羡慕持股者——回顾过去五年,回报实际上非常糟糕。实际上,在这段时间内,股价下跌了60%。所以我们对短期的上涨持谨慎态度。但这可能是因为下跌过度。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由于股东在长期内处于亏损状态,我们来看看这段时间内的基本面,看看它们是否与回报一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映的是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是基础业务表现。查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动,可以检视市场情绪是如何随时间而变化的。

During five years of share price growth, Fosun International moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

在五年的股价增长中,复星国际从亏损转为盈利。这通常会被视为积极的信号,因此我们对股价下跌感到惊讶。其他指标可能会更好地帮助我们了解其价值随时间的变化情况。

The modest 0.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 9.4% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.

适度的0.8%分红派息收益率不太可能引导市场对该股票的看法。与股价相比,过去五年营业收入实际上每年增长了9.4%。因此,似乎需要更仔细地查看基本面,以了解为什么股价低迷。毕竟,可能存在机会。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下面的图像显示了收益和营业收入随时间的变化情况(如果点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。

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SEHK:656 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 23rd 2024
SEHK:656 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年12月23日

We know that Fosun International has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Fosun International stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们知道复星国际最近改善了其盈利能力,但未来会怎样呢?如果你考虑买入或卖出复星国际股票,你应该查看这份免费的报告,里面展示了分析师的盈利预测。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Fosun International, it has a TSR of -56% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

考虑到任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报是非常重要的。总股东回报(TSR)包含了任何分拆或折扣融资的价值,以及任何分红,假设这些分红是再投资的。可以说,TSR提供了更全面的股票回报生成情况。就复星国际而言,它在过去5年的TSR为-56%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是由于其分红派息造成的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Fosun International shareholders are up 6.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 9% endured over half a decade. It could well be that the business is stabilizing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Fosun International better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fosun International that you should be aware of.

复星国际的股东在今年上涨了6.0%(即使包括分红派息)。不幸的是,这仍然低于市场回报。 好消息是,这仍然是一个收益,当然比过去五年大约9%的年度亏损要好得多。 这可能意味着业务正在稳定。 长期跟踪股票价格表现总是很有趣。但为了更好地了解复星国际,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如,我们已经识别出复星国际的1个警告信号,你应该注意。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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