Enbridge (TSX:ENB) is up about 24% in the past six months. Investors who missed the big rally are wondering if ENB stock is still undervalued and good to buy for a self-directed Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) or Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) focused on dividends and total returns.
Enbridge share price
Enbridge trades near $59 at the time of writing. The stock is down from the multi-year high around $62 it reached in recent weeks and now trades pretty much where it did in the summer of 2022 before the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve started to aggressively raise interest rates to get inflation under control.
Rising interest rates in 2022 and 2023 caused concern that Enbridge might have to trim its generous dividend to free up cash to cover higher debt expenses. The pipeline giant uses debt to fund its growth programs, including acquisitions and capital projects.
A quick look at the stock chart shows that investors started to buy ENB stock again late last year when the central banks announced they were done raising interest rates. The boost to the share price in the past six months occurred as the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve began to reduce interest rates.
2025 outlook
Additional rate cuts are expected in the two countries next year. However, inflation has ticked up in the United States in the past couple of months, and the American jobs market remains in good shape. The central bank recently indicated it only plans to make two small rate cuts in 2025. If Donald Trump implements widespread tariffs on imports, inflation could sure as businesses pass the costs on to consumers. In that scenario, the U.S. Fed might have to put rate cuts on hold or even move rates higher. This would likely put new pressure on pipeline and utility stocks.
That being said, Enbridge should deliver solid operating results in the coming year. The company wrapped up its US$14 billion takeover of three American natural gas utilities in 2024. Revenue and cash flow from the businesses will help drive better full-year results in 2025. Enbridge is also working on a $27 billion capital program. As the new assets are completed and go into service, the revenue and cash flow gains should support steady dividend growth.
Dividends
Enbridge recently raised the dividend, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend growth. Investors should see ongoing distribution hikes in line with anticipated growth in distributable cash flow of about 3% per year over the medium term.
At the current share price, ENB stock provides a dividend yield of 6.4%.
The bottom line on ENB stock
Enbridge is a good example of a top TSX dividend stock with a high yield and a distribution that should continue to grow. Near-term volatility is likely until there is clarity on U.S. tariffs next year, but buy-and-hold investors focused on passive income should put ENB stock on their radar. Additional weakness would be an opportunity to add to the position.
Enbridge(多伦多证券交易所股票代码:ENB)在过去六个月中上涨了约24%。错过大涨势的投资者想知道eNB股票是否仍被低估,是否适合购买以股息和总回报为重点的自管免税储蓄账户(TFSA)或注册退休储蓄计划(RRSP)。
Enbridge 股价
在撰写本文时,Enbridge的交易价格接近59美元。该股已从最近几周触及的62美元左右的多年高点下跌,现在的交易价格与加拿大银行和美联储开始积极提高利率以控制通货膨胀之前的2022年夏天差不多。
2022年和2023年利率上升引起了人们的担忧,即Enbridge可能不得不削减其丰厚的股息以腾出现金来支付更高的债务支出。这家管道巨头使用债务为其增长计划提供资金,包括收购和资本项目。
快速浏览一下股票走势图就会发现,去年年底,当中央银行宣布完成加息时,投资者再次开始购买eNB股票。过去六个月的股价上涨是在加拿大银行和美联储开始降低利率时发生的。
2025 年展望
预计明年两国将进一步降息。但是,在过去的几个月中,美国的通货膨胀率有所上升,美国的就业市场仍然处于良好状态。央行最近表示,它只计划在2025年进行两次小幅降息。如果唐纳德·特朗普对进口征收广泛的关税,随着企业将成本转嫁给消费者,通货膨胀肯定会发生。在这种情况下,美联储可能不得不暂停降息,甚至提高利率。这可能会给管道和公用事业股带来新的压力。
话虽如此,Enbridge应该在来年取得稳健的经营业绩。该公司于2024年完成了对三家美国天然气公用事业公司的140亿美元收购。来自业务的收入和现金流将有助于推动2025年更好的全年业绩。恩布里奇还在制定一项270亿美元的资本计划。随着新资产的完工和投入使用,收入和现金流的增加应支持稳定的股息增长。
分红
Enbridge最近提高了股息,标志着股息连续第30年增长。投资者应该看到持续的分销增长,这与中期内可分配现金流每年约3%的预期增长一致。
按目前的股价计算,eNB股票的股息收益率为6.4%。
eNB 股票的底线
Enbridge是TSX顶级股息股票的一个很好的例子,该股票收益率高,分配应继续增长。在明年美国关税明确之前,短期内可能会出现波动,但专注于被动收益的买入并持有投资者应关注eNB股票。另一个弱点将是加仓的机会。