Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd (SHSE:688429) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd (SHSE:688429) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Changzhou Shichuang Energy Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688429) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
一些人认为,与债务相比,波动性是考虑作为投资者风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过,'波动性远非等同于风险。' 在检查公司有多风险的时候,自然要考虑公司的资产负债表,因为当企业倒闭时,债务往往是一个因素。像许多其他公司一样,常州时创能源有限公司(SHSE:688429)也使用债务。但这种债务对股东来说是一个担忧吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,当一家公司无法轻易偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,要么通过融资,要么靠自身的自由现金流。 资本主义的一个重要方面是"创造性破坏"的过程,在这个过程中,失败的企业会被其银行家无情地清算。 然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情形是,公司不得不以低价筹集新股本,从而永久性地稀释股东。 当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而没有任何负面后果。 当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先查看现金和债务的结合。
What Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's Net Debt?
常州时创能源有限公司的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd had CN¥526.9m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥888.8m in cash, leading to a CN¥361.9m net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月,常州时创能源有限公司的债务为52690万人民币,较前一年没有增加。然而另一方面,它还有88880万人民币的现金,这导致其净现金为36190万人民币。
How Strong Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's Balance Sheet?
常州时创能源有限公司的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.25b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥229.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥888.8m in cash and CN¥449.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥140.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据最后一次报表,常州时创能源有限公司有到期负债12.5亿人民币,在12个月内到期的负债为22900万人民币。与此相抵消的是,它拥有现金88880万人民币和到期应收账款44940万人民币,这些都是在12个月内到期的。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款的总和多出14000万人民币。
Since publicly traded Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥6.98b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
由于上市的常州时创能源有限公司股份总值为69.8亿人民币,因此这一负债水平不太可能构成重大威胁。然而,我们认为保持关注其资产负债表的强度是值得的,因为它可能会随着时间而改变。尽管负债显著,常州时创能源有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它并没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是关注的重点。但常州时创能源有限公司的盈利情况将影响其未来资产负债表的表现。因此,如果你想更深入地了解其盈利情况,查看一下其长期盈利趋势的图表可能是值得的。
Over 12 months, Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥839m, which is a fall of 59%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在过去的12个月中,常州时创能源有限公司在EBIT层面亏损,营业收入降至83900万人民币,下降幅度为59%。坦率地说,这并不好。
So How Risky Is Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd?
那么常州时创能源有限公司有多风险?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥679m of cash and made a loss of CN¥499m. Given it only has net cash of CN¥361.9m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Changzhou Shichuang EnergyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们毫不怀疑,亏损公司通常比盈利公司风险更大。事实上,在过去的12个月中,常州时创能源有限公司在息税前收益(EBIT)方面亏损。确实,在此期间,它消耗了67900万人民币的现金,并亏损了49900万人民币。考虑到它净现金只有36190万人民币,如果不尽快扭亏为盈,公司可能需要筹集更多资本。总体而言,我们认为这只股票有点风险,通常在看到正的自由现金流之前我们会非常谨慎。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远不止于此。例如,我们发现了常州时创能源有限公司的两个警示信号,你在此投资之前应该了解。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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