JoulWatt Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688141) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, JoulWatt Technology may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.9x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 7.3x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Has JoulWatt Technology Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, JoulWatt Technology has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think JoulWatt Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
JoulWatt Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.1%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 47% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 49%, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that JoulWatt Technology is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On JoulWatt Technology's P/S
JoulWatt Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Given JoulWatt Technology's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with JoulWatt Technology, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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