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These Are the Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

These Are the Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

目前TSX上收益最高的股票
The Motley Fool ·  2024/12/23 19:30

The month of December had a mixed reaction. In the first half of the month, the Bank of Canada announced another 50 basis point interest rate cut in line with expectations. At 3.25%, this interest rate brought some relief to borrowers. However, the TSX Composite Index descended after the rate cut news, falling 4.3% in a week. Telecom and real estate stocks took the biggest plunge for a good reason.

十二月的反应各异。在本月的前半部分,加拿大银行宣布再次将利率下调50个基点,符合预期。随着利率降至3.25%,这为借款人带来了一些 relief。然而,TSX综合指数在降息消息后下滑,在一周内下降了4.3%。电信和房地产股票因合理原因遭遇了最大跌幅。

The November inflation rate slowed to 1.9%, influenced by the Black Friday sale. The accelerated rate cuts that began in June 2024 to control inflation are likely to slow in 2025 as central banks fear a rise in inflation. Why do they fear higher inflation?

受黑色星期五促销的影响,11月通货膨胀率放缓至1.9%。为了控制通胀,自2024年6月开始的加速降息预计将在2025年放缓,因为中央银行担心通胀上升。他们为什么害怕更高的通胀?

  1. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. If these tariffs are implemented, the price of goods could increase as the tariff cost will be passed on to consumers.
  2. Meanwhile, Canada's policymakers are cutting immigration targets by roughly 20% over the next three years, which means a lower labour supply. While a lower population could ease pressure on housing, it will increase wages and inflation.
  1. 美国新当选总统特朗普威胁要对来自加拿大和墨西哥的进口商品征收25%的关税。如果这些关税被实施,商品价格可能会上涨,因为关税成本将传递给消费者。
  2. 与此同时,加拿大的政策制定者在未来三年内将移民目标降低约20%,这意味着劳动力供应将减少。虽然减少人口可能会缓解住房压力,但这将导致工资和通货膨胀上升。

Highest-Yielding Stocks on the TSX Right Now

目前TSX上最高收益的股票

The uncertainty caused by the above two events pulled down the stock market in December, creating a buying opportunity in the below stocks.

上述两事件造成的不确定性拉低了12月的股市,为以下股票创造了买入机会。

BCE stock

BCE股票

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock fell 11.3% in December, inflating its dividend yield to 11.8%. The telecom giant has been in a downtrend since the April 2022 interest rate hike, losing half of its value. The telecom sector is in an upheaval as the acquisition of Shaw Communication by Rogers Communication changed the market oligopoly. This transition created an opportunity for Telus and BCE to poach Shaw's customers, forcing them into a price war at the cost of their profit margins.

BCE (TSX:BCE) 股票在12月下跌了11.3%,使其分红收益率膨胀至11.8%。自2022年4月加息以来,这家电信巨头一直处于下降趋势,损失了一半的价值。电信板块正在经历动荡,因为罗杰斯通信收购Shaw Communication改变了市场的寡头垄断。这一转变为泰勒斯和BCE创造了抢夺Shaw客户的机会,迫使他们在利润率下降的情况下展开价格战。

BCE is now in the middle of a company-wide restructuring. It is selling or closing its low-margin businesses like radio and electronic stores. It is expanding its reach in fast-growing digital media, cloud, networking, and cyber security businesses. This involves massive job cuts, write-offs, acquisitions, and other one-off expenses, pushing the telco into losses. Losses and high financing costs have stressed its free cash flow, hurting its dividend-paying flexibility in the short term. Its payout ratio is estimated to have increased from 111% in 2023 to 130% in 2024.

BCE目前正在进行公司全方位的重组。它正在出售或关闭低利润的业务,如广播和电子商店。它正在扩展在快速增长的数字媒体、云、网络和网络安全业务中的市场份额。这涉及到大规模的裁员、减记、收购和其他一次性费用,导致该电信公司出现亏损。亏损和高融资成本给其自由现金流带来了压力,影响了其短期内的分红支付能力。预计其派息比率将从2023年的111%增加到2024年的130%。

BCE has paused dividend growth in 2025 as it repairs its finances and strengthens the balance sheet. This is an opportunity to buy the dip as the company could see a recovery in revenue and profits once it realizes the synergies of restructuring. In the worst-case scenario, the company might cut dividends for a year or two. However, history has shown that BCE made a comeback with accelerated dividend growth to compensate for dividend cuts.

BCE已暂停2025年的分红增长,因为它在修复财务和增强资产负债表。这是一个买入的机会,因为一旦公司实现重组的协同效应,就可能会看到营业收入和利润的恢复。在最坏的情况下,公司可能会削减一两年的分红。然而,历史证明BCE通过加速分红增长来弥补分红削减,成功实现了反弹。

Year BCE's annual dividend per share YoY change
2009 $1.58 116.4%
2008 $0.73 -48.8%
2007 $1.43 8%
2006 $1.32 2.3%
2005 $1.29 7.5%
2004 $1.20 0.00%
2003 $1.20 0.00%
2002 $1.20 0.00%
2001 $1.20 -6.3%
2000 $1.28 -5.9%
BCE's dividend history (2000-2009)
年份 BCE的每股年度分红 同比变化
2009 $1.58 116.4%
2008 $0.73 -48.8%
2007 $1.43 8%
2006 $1.32 2.3%
2005 $1.29 7.5%
2004 $1.20 0.00%
2003 $1.20 0.00%
2002 $1.20 0.00%
2001 $1.20 -6.3%
2000 $1.28 -5.9%
BCE的分红历史(2000-2009)

An 11.8% yield can compensate for two to three years of dividend growth pause.

11.8%的收益率可以弥补两到三年的分红增长暂停。

Timbercreek Financial

Timbercreek金融

Timbercreek Financial (TSX:TF) stock fell more than 7.5% in December, inflating its dividend yield to 10%. The short-term mortgage lender that lends to income-generating REITs has been in a downward trend since April 2022 when interest rate hikes began as Canada's real estate sector saw a correction. Its loan turnover reduced as REITs paused their development projects until borrowing became cheaper and demand for housing picked up. REITs even repaid their loans to control interest costs.

Timbercreek金融(TSX:TF)股票在12月份下跌超过7.5%,使其分红收益率上升至10%。这家向产生收入的信托提供贷款的短期抵押贷款机构自2022年4月加息以来一直处于下行趋势,加拿大房地产板块经历了调整。随着信托暂停其开发项目,直到借款成本降低且对住房的需求回升,其贷款周转减少。信托甚至提前偿还贷款以控制利息成本。

This reduced Timbercreek's revenue and profits and increased its dividend payout ratio to an alarming 95.3% of its adjusted distributable income. The recovery in demand for loans was slow to pick up in the second half as REITs waited for more interest rate cuts. A slowdown in rate cuts could probably revive Timbercreek's loan turnover, allowing the lender to sustain its dividends. You could benefit from a 10–15% recovery rally and a 9.89% yield.

这减少了Timbercreek的营业收入和利润,并将其分红派息比率提高到令人担忧的95.3%调整后可分配收入。随着信托等待更多的降息,贷款需求的复苏在下半年缓慢。降息放缓可能会复苏Timbercreek的贷款周转,允许贷款机构维持其分红。您可以从10-15%的反弹复苏和9.89%的收益率中受益。

In the worst-case scenario, delays in the recovery of loan turnover could force the lender to cut dividends and further reduce the stock price. Consider investing only a small portion of your portfolio in this stock.

在最坏的情况下,贷款周转恢复的延迟可能迫使贷方削减分红派息并进一步降低股票价格。考虑仅将您投资组合的一小部分投入该股票。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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