SingPost Fiasco, Opportunity During Weakness
SingPost Fiasco, Opportunity During Weakness
SingPost has terminated the employment of its CEO, CFO and CEO of its international business unit as they allegedly failed to exercise due diligence and breached their duties in relation to a whistle blowing report alleging manual entries of certain delivery codes. Maybank IB notes that the company has already settled with the customer involved which will not be material to its FY25E NTA and EPS and the customer's contract has been renewed.
新邮政已终止其首席执行官、首席财务官及其国际业务部门首席执行官的雇佣关系,因他们 allegedly 未能尽职尽责,违反了与举报报告有关的职责,该举报报告指控手动输入了某些投递代码。马银行 Ib 指出,该公司已与相关客户达成和解,这对其 FY25E NTA 和每股收益并无实质影响,且该客户的合同已被续签。
The house believes that the end-game remains unchanged as the strategic review and monetisation of non-core assets was driven by the board. The Australia business sale will likely proceed as the board believes the divestment is the best option for shareholders. It also thinks this will be an opportunity to accumulate SingPost shares on weakness.
该公司认为,结局仍未改变,因为非核心资产的战略审查和货币化是由董事会推动的。澳洲的业务出售可能会继续进行,因为董事会认为剥离是股东的最佳选择。它还认为这将是一个在市场低迷时累积新邮政股票的机会。
Manual entries of certain delivery codes
Three managers with various operational responsibilities in its international business operations allegedly manually performed/approved updates of delivery failure status codes for parcels SingPost had agreed to deliver even though no delivery attempt had been made and which lacked supporting documents to avoid contractual penalties with one of its largest
customers. The 3 managers were terminated earlier in 2024 and a police report has also been made. A settlement has been agreed and paid to the customer which is not material to SingPost's current year NTA and EPS.
某些投递代码的手动输入
三位在其国际业务运营中承担不同运营责任的经理 allegedly 手动执行/批准了新邮政已同意进行投递的包裹的投递失败状态代码的更新,尽管未尝试投递,并且缺乏支持文件以避免与其最大的客户之一的合同处罚。
这三位经理在2024年早些时候被解雇,并且还提交了警方报告。与客户达成的和解已被同意并支付,这对新邮政当前年度的 NTA 和每股收益并无实质影响。
Board-driven initiative – End-game unchanged
In July 2023, the board initiated a strategic review with a view to enhancing shareholder returns and ensuring that SingPost is appropriately valued. It has identified a list of assets and businesses that are non-core to its strategy which can be monetised to recycle capital. The house believes that the proceeds from the Australia business will be returned to shareholders
after paring down debt. Maybank IB also expects more asset sales going forward like Famous Holdings, SingPost centre and its post offices. We expect potentially up to SGD0.86/sh of dividends in the next 2 years.
董事会驱动的举措 – 结局未变
在2023年7月,董事会启动了一项策略审查,以期提升股东回报并确保新邮政得到适当的估值。它已确定了一份与其策略无关的资产和业务清单,这些资产和业务可以变现以回收资本。该公司认为,来自澳洲业务的收益将会返回给股东
在减少债务之后,马来亚银行投资也预计未来会有更多的资产出售,例如著名控股公司、新邮政中心及其邮局。我们预计在未来两年内每股将派发最高达0.86新元的分红派息。
Accumulate on weakness
Despite the termination of key management, Maybank IB said it believes that the roadmap to return shareholder value remains unchanged as it is board-driven and shareholders could potentially receive up to SGD0.86/share if all its assets are monetised. We think the downside risk is now limited and maintain a conviction BUY on SingPost for its asset monetisation story.
在弱市中进行累计投资
尽管关键管理层被终止,马来亚银行投资表示相信,返还股东价值的路线图仍然不变,因为这是由董事会推动的,如果其所有资产都能够变现,股东有可能每股获得最高达0.86新元。我们认为下行风险现在有限,并对新邮政的资产变现故事保持坚定的买入评级。