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These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

这四项指标表明深圳华强行业(SZSE:000062)合理地使用了债务
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/24 11:27

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000062) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持他)曾说过:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。’因此,当你考虑任何股票的风险时,显然需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会淹没一家公司。我们可以看到深圳华强工业有限公司(SZSE:000062)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得有风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务能够帮助企业,直到企业在用新资本或自由现金流偿还时遇到困难。 在最糟糕的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债务,那么它可能会破产。 但更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的股份。 当然,债务可以是企业特别是资本密集型企业的重要工具。 考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要同时查看其现金和债务。

What Is Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's Debt?

深圳华强工业的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry had CN¥6.33b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥6.91b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.93b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥3.40b.

你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示深圳华强工业在2024年9月的债务为630亿人民币,比一年前的69.1亿人民币有所下降。然而,由于它有29.3亿人民币的现金储备,净债务较少,约为34亿人民币。

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SZSE:000062 Debt to Equity History December 24th 2024
SZSE:000062 债务与股本历史 2024年12月24日

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's Balance Sheet?

深圳华强的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry had liabilities of CN¥6.37b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.12b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.93b in cash and CN¥5.94b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥379.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

从最新的资产负债表来看,深圳华强的流动负债为63.7亿人民币,超过一年到期的负债为21.2亿人民币。对此,它拥有29.3亿人民币的现金和59.4亿人民币的应收账款,这些账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它可以自豪地称,流动资产比总负债多出37980万。

Having regard to Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥24.8b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.

考虑到深圳华强的规模,它的流动资产与总负债似乎保持着良好的平衡。因此,这家市值248亿人民币的公司不太可能面临现金短缺,但仍然值得关注其资产负债表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了评估一家公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税前利润(EBIT)与利息费用的比率(即利息覆盖率)。通过这种方式,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量和所支付的利率。

Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.7 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Another concern for investors might be that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's EBIT fell 17% in the last year. If things keep going like that, handling the debt will about as easy as bundling an angry house cat into its travel box. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

深圳华强的债务与EBITDA比率为3.8,其EBIT覆盖利息支出3.7倍。综合来看,尽管我们不希望债务水平上升,但我们认为它能够承受当前的杠杆水平。投资者可能会担心的是,深圳华强的EBIT在过去一年下降了17%。如果这种情况持续下去,处理债务将像把一只愤怒的家猫塞进旅行箱一样困难。分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是着手的地方。但你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为深圳华强需要收益来服务这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击这里查看互动快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 99% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不足够。因此,我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,深圳华强产生的自由现金流相当强劲,占其EBIT的99%,比我们预期的还要多。这使其在需要偿还债务时处于良好位置。

Our View

我们的观点

On our analysis Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, EBIT growth rate gives us cold feet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

根据我们的分析,深圳华强的EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力应该表明它不会在债务方面遇到太多麻烦。然而,我们的其他观察并不那么令人振奋。尤其是EBIT增长率令我们感到不安。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,我们对深圳华强的债务使用感到有些谨慎。尽管我们意识到债务可以提高股本回报,但我们建议股东密切关注其债务水平,以免增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务时的重点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。例如,我们已识别出深圳华强的5个警告信号(其中2个不能忽视),您应该注意这些。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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