Weichai Heavy Machinery (SZSE:000880) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years
Weichai Heavy Machinery (SZSE:000880) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, you can make far more than 100% on a really good stock. One great example is Weichai Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000880) which saw its share price drive 123% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 62% gain in the last three months.
在任何股票上,你最多可能损失你资金的100%(假设你不使用杠杆)。但从好的一面看,你在一只真正优秀的股票上可以赚取远超过100%的收益。一个很好的例子是潍柴重机有限公司(SZSE:000880),其股价在五年内上涨了123%。同时,股东们也很高兴,最近三个月股价上涨了62%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在强劲的7天表现的基础上,让我们来看看该公司基本面在推动长期股东回报中发挥了什么作用。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然有效市场假说仍然会被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, Weichai Heavy Machinery achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 32% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 17% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.
在五年的股价增长中,潍柴重机实现了每股收益(EPS)年均32%的复合增长。这一每股收益的增长比同期股价年均增长17%更为显著。因此,可以得出结论,整体市场对该股票变得更加谨慎。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何随时间变化(点击图片可以发现具体数值)。
Dive deeper into Weichai Heavy Machinery's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Weichai Heavy Machinery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看潍柴重机的收益、营业收入和现金流的交互式图表,可以更深入地了解潍柴重机的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Weichai Heavy Machinery's TSR for the last 5 years was 134%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在查看投资回报时,考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异非常重要。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红派息的价值(假设其被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的好处。可以说,TSR提供了股票所产生回报的更全面的视角。实际上,潍柴重机过去五年的TSR为134%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。而且可以毫无疑问地说,分红派息大大解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Weichai Heavy Machinery has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 42% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 19% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Weichai Heavy Machinery has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
很高兴看到潍柴重机在过去十二个月里向股东提供了42%的总股东回报。当然,这其中包括分红派息。这比过去五年的年化回报19%要好,暗示公司近期表现更佳。考虑到股价势头依然强劲,或许更详细地研究一下这只股票是值得的,以免错过机会。我认为,从长远来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正获得深刻见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如风险——潍柴重机有1个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。
We will like Weichai Heavy Machinery better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大型内部买入,我们会更喜欢潍柴重机。在我们等待的时候,查看一下这个免费的被低估股票名单(大部分是小盘股),它们最近有相当多的内部买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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