Is XBiotech (NASDAQ:XBIT) A Risky Investment?
Is XBiotech (NASDAQ:XBIT) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that XBiotech Inc. (NASDAQ:XBIT) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李露(查理·芒格支持的人)曾说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多危险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们可以看到,XBiotech Inc.(纳斯达克:XBIT)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资金还是用自己的现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款方可能会接管企业。虽然这并不常见,但我们常常看到负债公司因贷款方强迫其以困境价格筹集资金而永久稀释股东权益。当然,债务可以是企业中的一个重要工具,特别是对资本需求较高的企业。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务结合起来考虑。
What Is XBiotech's Net Debt?
XBiotech的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 XBiotech had debt of US$10.0m, up from none in one year. But it also has US$183.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$173.1m net cash.
下图可点击查看详细信息,显示到2024年9月,XBiotech的债务为1000万美元,比一年前的零有了增长。但它也有18310万美元的现金来抵消这部分债务,这意味着它的净现金为17310万美元。
How Strong Is XBiotech's Balance Sheet?
XBiotech的资产负债表有多强?
The latest balance sheet data shows that XBiotech had liabilities of US$16.0m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.74m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$183.1m in cash and US$871.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$166.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,XBiotech的短期负债为1600万美元,长期负债为174万美元。 相抵之下,它拥有18310万美元的现金和87.1万美元的应收账款,这些将在12个月内到期。因此,它可以自豪地称其流动资产比总负债多16630万美元。
This surplus strongly suggests that XBiotech has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that XBiotech has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is XBiotech's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
这项盈余强烈表明XBiotech的资产负债表坚如磐石(债务丝毫不成问题)。 鉴于这一事实,我们认为其资产负债表强劲得像牛。 简而言之,XBiotech拥有的现金多于债务,无疑是其安全管理债务的良好指标。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个明显的起点。 但影响资产负债表未来表现的将是XBiotech的收入。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收入趋势。 点击这里查看互动快照。
Since XBiotech doesn't have significant operating revenue, shareholders may be hoping it comes up with a great new product, before it runs out of money.
由于XBiotech没有显著的营业收入,股东可能希望它能推出一款好新产品,在用完资金之前。
So How Risky Is XBiotech?
那么XBiotech的风险有多大?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that XBiotech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$29m and booked a US$33m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$173.1m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for XBiotech (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
从本质上讲,亏损的公司比那些长期盈利的公司风险更大。 我们注意到XBiotech在过去一年中有利息和税前(EBIT)亏损。 在同一期间,它经历了2900万美元的负自由现金流出,并记入3300万美元的会计损失。 但是,拯救的好消息是资产负债表上的17310万美元。 这意味着它可以以当前的支出速度继续两年以上。 总的来说,其资产负债表目前似乎并不过于风险,但在看到积极的自由现金流之前我们总是保持谨慎。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解最多关于债务的信息。 然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。 例如,我们发现了XBiotech的三个警告信号(两个令人担忧!),在这里投资之前你应该注意这些。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来发现我们独家的净现金成长股票列表。
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