The LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 59% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in the United States' Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may still consider LiveWire Group as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does LiveWire Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LiveWire Group over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for LiveWire Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
LiveWire Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.7%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why LiveWire Group's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
What Does LiveWire Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
LiveWire Group's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that LiveWire Group can support its high P/S given the strong revenue growth its experienced over the last three-year is superior to the current industry outlook. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for LiveWire Group (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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