NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?
NOV Inc.'s (NYSE:NOV) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?
NOV (NYSE:NOV) has had a rough three months with its share price down 15%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on NOV's ROE.
NOV (纽交所:NOV) 在过去三个月的表现不佳,其股价下跌了15%。但如果仔细观察,您可能会发现其强劲的财务状况可能意味着这只股票在长期内有可能增值,因为市场通常会奖励那些财务健康的公司。本文我们决定重点关注NOV的ROE。
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
ROE,即净资产收益率,是评估公司如何有效地利用来自股东投资的工具。简单来说,它用于评估公司相对于其股本的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股东权益回报率?
The formula for ROE is:
roe的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NOV is:
因此,根据上述公式,NOV的roe为:
16% = US$1.1b ÷ US$6.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
16% = 11亿美金 ÷ 65亿美金(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.16.
‘回报’是过去十二个月的利润。这意味着,对于每1美元的股东投资,公司产生了0.16美元的利润。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了一家公司盈利的效率。我们现在需要评估公司再投资或“保留”多少利润以便于未来的增长,这将有助于我们了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他条件不变,拥有更高股本回报率和更高利润留存的公司通常相比没有相同特点的公司具有更高的增长率。
A Side By Side comparison of NOV's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE
NOV的盈利增长与16% ROE的并排对比
At first glance, NOV seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the impressive net income growth of 83% seen over the past five years by NOV. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.
乍一看,NOV似乎有一个不错的ROE。此外,该公司的ROE与行业平均水平14%相似。因此,这可能为NOV在过去五年中实现83%的净利润增长奠定了基础。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的分红派息比率较低,或者管理效率较高。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that NOV's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 53% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下来,与行业的净利润增长相比,我们发现NOV的增长在同一时期内高于行业平均增长53%,这非常令人欣慰。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for NOV? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.
为公司估值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应该尝试判断预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已被定价。这将帮助他们判断股票的未来是光明还是暗淡。市场是否已经考虑了NOV未来的前景?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。
Is NOV Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
NOV是否有效地重新投资其利润?
NOV has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 8.4%, meaning that it has the remaining 92% left over to reinvest into its business. So it looks like NOV is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.
NOV的三年中位数派息比率非常低,仅为8.4%,这意味着它还有92%的利润可以再投资于其业务。因此,NOV似乎在大量再投资利润以发展其业务,这在其盈利增长中得到了体现。
Additionally, NOV has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 15% over the next three years. Therefore, the expected rise in the payout ratio explains why the company's ROE is expected to decline to 9.1% over the same period.
此外,NOV在至少十年的时间里支付了分红派息,这意味着该公司非常认真地与股东分享其利润。通过研究最新的分析师共识数据,我们发现公司未来的派息比率预计将在未来三年内上升至15%。因此,派息比率的预期上升解释了为什么公司的ROE预计在同一时期内下降至9.1%。
Conclusion
结论
In total, we are pretty happy with NOV's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
总体来说,我们对NOV的表现感到非常满意。具体来说,我们喜欢公司以高回报率重新投资其巨额利润。当然,这导致公司在收益上实现了可观的增长。话虽如此,在研究最新的分析师预测时,我们发现尽管公司过去的收益有所增长,但分析师预计其未来的收益会减少。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的整体预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里访问我们关于该公司的分析师预测页面。
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