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Is Weakness In Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

美国工商五金公司(纽交所:CMC)股票的疲软是否意味着市场可能错误,考虑到其强劲的财务前景?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/24 14:05

Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC) has had a rough month with its share price down 19%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Commercial Metals' ROE today.

美国工商五金公司(纽交所:CMC)这个月表现不佳,股价下跌了19%。然而,股票价格通常受到公司长期财务表现的驱动,在这种情况下看起来相当有前景。特别是,今天我们将关注美国工商五金公司的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率(ROE)是用于评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。换句话说,它揭示了公司将股东投资转化为利润的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Commercial Metals is:

因此,根据上述公式,美国工商五金公司的roe为:

11% = US$485m ÷ US$4.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to August 2024).

11% = 48500万美元 ÷ 43亿美元(基于截至2024年8月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.11 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月的利润。另一种理解方式是,对于每1美元的股本,公司能够赚取0.11美元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解了roe衡量公司利润产生效率的程度。现在我们需要评估公司为未来增长而重新投资或“保留”的利润数量,然后了解公司的增长潜力。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而与不一定具备这些特征的公司相比,这种增长率的相对性就越高。

Commercial Metals' Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

美国工商五金公司的盈利增长和11%的ROE

To begin with, Commercial Metals seems to have a respectable ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 11%. This probably goes some way in explaining Commercial Metals' significant 23% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

首先,美国工商五金公司似乎拥有令人尊敬的ROE。与行业相比,我们发现行业平均ROE大约也是11%。这在一定程度上解释了美国工商五金公司在过去五年中显著的23%净利润增长,当然还有其他因素。我们相信,可能还有其他方面积极影响着公司的盈利增长,例如:高盈利留存或高效的管理团队。

As a next step, we compared Commercial Metals' net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 23% in the same period.

接下来,我们将美国工商五金公司的净利润增长与行业进行比较,发现该公司的增长数字与该行业同期平均增长率23%相似。

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NYSE:CMC Past Earnings Growth December 24th 2024
纽交所:CMC过去的盈利增长 2024年12月24日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for CMC? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

对公司估值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论哪种情况,是否已被市场定价。这样做将帮助他们判断股票的未来是否看起来令人期待或令人担忧。 市场是否已经考虑到CMC的未来前景?您可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图表研究报告中找到答案。

Is Commercial Metals Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

美国工商五金公司是否高效地重新投资其利润?

Commercial Metals' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 8.7% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (91%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

美国工商五金公司的三年中位支付比率较低,为8.7%,这意味着它保留了较高比例(91%)的利润。因此,管理层似乎正在大量再投资利润以发展其业务,这体现在其盈利增长数字上。

Besides, Commercial Metals has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 17% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,美国工商五金公司已经至少支付了十年的分红。这表明该公司致力于与股东分享利润。 在研究了最新分析师的共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来支付比率预计将在未来三年内上升至17%。然而,尽管预计支付比率提高,该公司的ROE预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that Commercial Metals' performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们认为美国工商五金公司的表现相当不错。特别是,我们喜欢该公司在其业务中进行大量再投资,并且回报率很高。不出所料,这导致了令人印象深刻的盈利增长。话虽如此,预计该公司的盈利增长将减缓,正如当前分析师的预测所预示的。欲了解有关该公司未来盈利增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于该公司的免费分析师预测报告。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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