The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at American Assets Trust (NYSE:AAT) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term American Assets Trust, Inc. (NYSE:AAT) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 43% over a half decade.
理想情况下,你的整体投资组合应该超过市场平均水平。但在任何投资组合中,个别股票的表现会有不同。因此,我们不会责怪长期持有美国资产信托公司(纽交所:AAT)股票的股东怀疑他们持有的决定,因为该股票在五年内下跌了43%。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
虽然有效市场假说仍然会被一些人教授,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。考察市场情绪随时间变化的一种方法是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
While the share price declined over five years, American Assets Trust actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 4.3% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
虽然共享价格在五年内有所下降,但美国资产信托公司实际上平均每年将每股收益(EPS)提高了4.3%。所以,似乎每股收益并不是理解市场如何评估该股票的好指标。或者,也可能是市场之前非常乐观,因此尽管每股收益改善,股票却令人失望。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.
通过浏览这些数字,我们可以假设五年前市场对更高的增长有预期。话虽如此,通过查看其他指标,我们可能会更好地了解股票的情况。
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. While it's not completely obvious why the share price is down, a closer look at the company's history might help explain it.
稳定的分红并不能完全解释为什么股价下跌。尽管股价下跌的原因并不完全明显,但更仔细地查看公司的历史可能有助于解释这一点。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的图像显示了收益和营业收入随时间的变化情况(如果点击图像,可以看到更详细的信息)。
It is of course excellent to see how American Assets Trust has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
当然,看到美国资产信托多年来利润的增长是非常不错的,但未来对股东来说更为重要。查看我们关于其财务状况随时间变化的免费报告是非常值得的。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for American Assets Trust the TSR over the last 5 years was -28%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR包括分红的价值(假设被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于那些支付丰厚分红的公司,TSR通常远高于股价回报。我们注意到,对于美国资产信托来说,过去5年的TSR为-28%,这比上面提到的股价回报要好。而且,显而易见的是,分红支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
American Assets Trust shareholders are up 22% for the year (even including dividends). But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 5% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with American Assets Trust (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
美国资产信托的股东今年的收益增长了22%(包括分红派息在内)。但这仍低于市场平均水平。好的一面是,这仍然是一个收益,肯定比过去五年遭受的约5%的年度损失要好。因此,这可能是业务扭转局面的迹象。 虽然考虑市场状况对股票价格的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他因素更为关键。例如,投资风险的无时无刻不在的威胁。我们已经识别出美国资产信托的3个警告信号(至少有2个可能是严重的),理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你更倾向于查看其他公司——一个财务状况可能更优的公司——那么不要错过这个免费的公司列表,它们已经证明能够实现盈利增长。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了当前在美国交易所上市股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。