Fujian Acetron New Materials (SZSE:300706) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Fujian Acetron New Materials (SZSE:300706) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Fujian Acetron New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300706) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
受伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李录直言不讳地表示:‘最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。’因此,当你考虑到任何特定股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务可能会淹没一家公司。我们注意到阿石创(SZSE:300706)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但这个债务对股东来说是个问题吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法轻松满足债务和其他负债时,这些负债就会变得具有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。资本主义的一个组成部分是‘创造性毁灭’的过程,失败的企业会被其银行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价格筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它往往代表着廉价资本,尤其是在其替代一家能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起观察。
What Is Fujian Acetron New Materials's Debt?
阿石创的债务是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Fujian Acetron New Materials had CN¥776.2m of debt, up from CN¥624.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥294.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥481.8m.
如您所见,截至2024年9月底,阿石创的债务为77620万人民币,较一年前的62420万人民币有所增加。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。另一方面,它的现金为29440万人民币,净债务约为48180万人民币。
A Look At Fujian Acetron New Materials' Liabilities
观察阿石创的负债情况
The latest balance sheet data shows that Fujian Acetron New Materials had liabilities of CN¥962.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥90.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥294.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥224.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥533.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,阿石创在一年内的负债为96220万人民币,超过一年期的负债为9000万人民币。抵消这些负债,它拥有29440万人民币的现金和价值22400万人民币的应收账款,期限均在12个月内。因此,它的负债总额超过现金和短期应收账款的组合,达到53380万人民币。
Since publicly traded Fujian Acetron New Materials shares are worth a total of CN¥4.13b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
由于上市的阿石创股票总值为41.3亿人民币,因此这个负债水平似乎不会构成重大威胁。然而,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的强度,因为随着时间的推移可能会发生变化。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了衡量一家公司相对于其收益的债务水平,我们计算其净负债与利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和税项前利润(EBIT)与其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我们考虑了包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务的情况。
Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2 hit our confidence in Fujian Acetron New Materials like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Fujian Acetron New Materials actually let its EBIT decrease by 3.5% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Acetron New Materials will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
1.1倍的利息覆盖率和5.2倍的净债务与EBITDA比率让我们对阿石创的信恳智能就如同一拳重击。这里的债务负担相当可观。更令人担忧的是,阿石创的EBIT实际上在过去一年中下降了3.5%。如果这种收益趋势持续下去,公司将面临偿还债务的艰巨挑战。资产负债表显然是分析债务时的重点。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为阿石创需要收益来服务这些债务。因此,在考虑债务时,关注收益趋势是绝对值得的。点击这里查看互动快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Fujian Acetron New Materials saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要看看EBIT是否带来了相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,阿石创的自由现金流总共经历了显著的负值。虽然投资者无疑期待这种情况将在适当时候发生扭转,但这显然意味着其债务使用的风险更高。
Our View
我们的观点
To be frank both Fujian Acetron New Materials's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Fujian Acetron New Materials's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Fujian Acetron New Materials (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .
坦白说,阿石创的利息覆盖率和将EBIT转化为自由现金流的记录让我们对其债务水平感到不安。但至少其总负债水平还不算太糟。 从更大的图景来看,我们认为阿石创的债务使用正在为公司带来风险。如果一切顺利,可能会有回报,但这一债务的缺陷是导致永久性损失的更大风险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,您应该学习关于我们发现的阿石创的三个警告信号(其中包括一个略显不悦的信号)。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对本文有反馈?对内容有疑虑?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。