Zhejiang Wanma Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002276) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 36x and even P/E's above 70x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Zhejiang Wanma has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Zhejiang Wanma's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 40%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 40% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 152% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Zhejiang Wanma's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Wanma's P/E
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Zhejiang Wanma currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Wanma that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Wanma, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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