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GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600771) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600771) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

广誉远中药股份有限公司(上交所代码:600771)的股价正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模糊:这种势头会继续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  12/24 21:30

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine (SHSE:600771) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE today.

广誉远中药(SHSE:600771)在股市上表现出色,过去三个月其股票上涨了显著的11%。然而,我们担心公司财务数据的不一致性会对当前的股价走势产生不利影响。特别是,今天我们将关注广誉远中药的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

ROE或权益回报率是一个有用的工具,用于评估公司如何有效地利用从股东那里获得的投资来产生回报。简而言之,ROE显示每一美元投资生成的利润与其股东投资的关系。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股东权益回报率 = 净利润(来自持续运营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine is:

因此,根据上述公式,广誉远中药的roe为:

5.0% = CN¥80m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.0% = CN¥8000万 ÷ CN¥16亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报”是过去十二个月税后赚取的金额。可以这样理解,对于每1元的股东资金,该公司赚取了0.05元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经意识到,ROE作为公司未来盈利的有效衡量值。根据公司重新投资或“保留”这些利润的程度,以及公司有效地运用这些利润的程度,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,ROE和利润保留越高,增长率就会越高,相比于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就会更高。

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's Earnings Growth And 5.0% ROE

广誉远中药的 earnings 增长与 5.0% 的 ROE

On the face of it, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 7.7% either. For this reason, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's five year net income decline of 21% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

从表面上看,广誉远中药的 ROE 并不引人注目。进一步研究显示,该公司的 ROE 与行业平均水平 7.7% 的比较也不是很好。因此,广誉远中药五年净利润下降 21% 是情理之中的,因为它的 ROE 较低。然而,可能还有其他因素导致 earnings 的下降。例如,业务可能资本分配不当,或者公司有很高的分红派息比率。

However, when we compared GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将广誉远中药的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现虽然公司的 earnings 一直在缩水,但同期行业的 earnings 增长达到了 9.1%。这十分令人担忧。

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SHSE:600771 Past Earnings Growth December 25th 2024
SHSE:600771 过去的收益增长 2024年12月25日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

对一家公司的估值基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。投资者应尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已计入价格中。这样做将有助于他们判断股票的未来是看起来有前景还是令人担忧。与其他公司相比,广誉远中药的估值是否合理?以下三项估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

广誉远中药是否有效利用其利润?

Because GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine doesn't pay any regular dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

由于广誉远中药没有支付任何定期分红,我们推测它正在保留所有利润,这在考虑到没有盈利增长的情况下显得相当令人困惑。因此,这里可能存在其他因素在发挥作用,可能对增长造成阻碍。例如,该业务面临了一些阻力。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine visit our risks dashboard for free.

总体而言,我们认为广誉远中药的表现可以有多种解读。虽然公司确实有较高的利润保留率,但其较低的回报率可能在阻碍其盈利增长。总结来说,我们会对这家公司谨慎行事,而一种方式是查看该业务的风险概况。要了解我们为广誉远中药识别出的1个风险,请免费访问我们的风险特斯拉-仪表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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