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CRRC (SHSE:601766) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

CRRC (SHSE:601766) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

中国中车(SHSE:601766)似乎很少使用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/25 15:44

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that CRRC Corporation Limited (SHSE:601766) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:‘波动性远非与风险同义。’ 因此,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,很明显需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,中国中车有限公司(SHSE:601766)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险性更高。

When Is Debt A Problem?

何时债务成为问题?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就变得风险重重,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格融资。如果情况真的很糟,贷方可以控制企业。然而,一个更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以超低价格发行股票,永久稀释股东权益,仅仅为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表便宜的资本,特别是当它替代了能够以高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does CRRC Carry?

中国中车的债务有多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CRRC had CN¥14.5b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥30.3b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥55.4b in cash, so it actually has CN¥40.9b net cash.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示到2024年9月,中国中车的债务为145亿人民币,而一年前为303亿人民币。然而,它的资产负债表显示其持有554亿人民币的现金,因此实际上净现金为409亿人民币。

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SHSE:601766 Debt to Equity History December 25th 2024
SHSE:601766 债务与股本历史 2024年12月25日

How Strong Is CRRC's Balance Sheet?

中国中车的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CRRC had liabilities of CN¥273.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥24.2b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥55.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥171.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥71.2b.

通过查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到中国中车在12个月内的负债为2735亿人民币,12个月后到期的负债为242亿人民币。抵消这些负债的,它有554亿人民币的现金以及价值1711亿人民币的应收账款,均在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债比现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多出712亿人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CRRC has a huge market capitalization of CN¥223.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, CRRC boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

虽然这看起来很多,但并不算太糟,因为中国中车的市值高达2237亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,它可能会通过融资来增强其资产负债表。然而,我们肯定想要关注其债务是否带来过多风险的迹象。尽管负债明显,中国中车拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说它并没有沉重的债务负担!

And we also note warmly that CRRC grew its EBIT by 18% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CRRC can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们还欣喜地注意到,中国中车去年EBIT增长了18%,使其债务负担更易于管理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到有关债务的大部分知识。但最终,业务的未来盈利能力将决定中国中车能否在时间的推移中强化其资产负债表。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费的报告,展示分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. CRRC may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, CRRC actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最后,一项业务需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润是无法替代的。中国中车的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看公司如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响它管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,中国中车实际上产生的自由现金流超过了EBIT。这种强劲的现金转化能力让我们兴奋不已,就像在Daft Punk演唱会上当节奏来临时一样。

Summing Up

总结

While CRRC does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥40.9b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥17b, being 117% of its EBIT. So we don't think CRRC's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - CRRC has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

虽然中国中车的负债高于流动资产,但它的净现金为409亿人民币。并且它带来了170亿人民币的自由现金流,达到其EBIT的117%。因此,我们并不认为中国中车的债务使用有风险。资产负债表无疑是分析债务时的重点领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都在资产负债表内,远非如此。例如,中国中车有1个警告信号,我们认为你应该注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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