Companies Like Loongson Technology (SHSE:688047) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth
Companies Like Loongson Technology (SHSE:688047) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
毫无疑问,通过拥有不盈利公司的股份可以赚钱。例如,生物科技和矿业勘探公司往往在找到新疗法或矿物发现之前亏损数年。尽管如此,不盈利的公司风险很大,因为它们可能会耗尽所有现金并陷入困境。
So, the natural question for Loongson Technology (SHSE:688047) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
因此,龙芯科技(SHSE:688047)股东自然会问,他们是否应该关注其现金消耗率。为了本文的目的,我们将现金消耗定义为公司每年为资助其增长而花费的现金总额(也称为其负自由现金流)。让我们开始查看该业务的现金与其现金消耗的关系。
Does Loongson Technology Have A Long Cash Runway?
龙芯科技是否有足够的现金续航能力?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In September 2024, Loongson Technology had CN¥1.1b in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥469m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.3 years from September 2024. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Importantly, if we extrapolate recent cash burn trends, the cash runway would be noticeably longer. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
你可以通过将公司拥有的现金总额除以公司消耗现金的速度来计算公司的现金续航能力。在2024年9月,龙芯科技拥有11亿人民币现金,并且没有债务。从去年来看,该公司消耗了46900万人民币。因此,从2024年9月开始,它的现金续航能力大约为2.3年。可以说,这个现金续航长度相对审慎且合理。重要的是,如果我们外推近期的现金消耗趋势,现金续航能力将明显更长。下图展示了其现金持有量随时间的变化情况。
How Well Is Loongson Technology Growing?
龙芯科技的增长情况如何?
We reckon the fact that Loongson Technology managed to shrink its cash burn by 34% over the last year is rather encouraging. But the revenue dip of 35% in the same period was a bit concerning. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
我们认为龙芯科技在过去一年成功将现金消耗缩减34%是相当令人鼓舞的。但在同一时期营业收入下降的35%让人有些担忧。考虑到这两个因素,我们对其增长前景并不特别兴奋。虽然过去的表现值得研究,但未来才是最重要的。因此,查看我们对该公司的分析师预测是非常有意义的。
How Easily Can Loongson Technology Raise Cash?
龙芯科技如何轻松筹集资金?
While Loongson Technology seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
虽然龙芯科技似乎处于相对良好的状态,但考虑它能够多容易地筹集更多现金,甚至只是为了加速增长,仍然是值得的。发行新股或借债是上市公司为其业务筹集更多资金的最常见方式。上市公司的一个主要优势是它们可以向投资者出售股票以筹集现金并资助增长。通过将公司的年度现金消耗与其总市值进行比较,我们可以大致估算出它需要发行多少股份才能在同样的消耗率下再运营一年。
Loongson Technology's cash burn of CN¥469m is about 0.8% of its CN¥59b market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
龙芯科技的现金消耗为46900万人民币,大约是其590亿人民币市值的0.8%。这意味着它可以轻松发行几股以资助更多增长,并且可能处于廉价借贷的状态。
So, Should We Worry About Loongson Technology's Cash Burn?
那么,我们应该担心龙芯科技的现金消耗吗?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Loongson Technology is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Taking an in-depth view of risks, we've identified 1 warning sign for Loongson Technology that you should be aware of before investing.
你可能已经明显感觉到,我们对龙芯科技的现金消耗相对感到满意。特别是,我们认为其现金消耗与市值相比,凸显了该公司对支出的良好管理。尽管其营业收入下降并不理想,但本文中提到的其他因素弥补了这一指标的弱点。基于本文提到的因素,我们认为其现金消耗情况值得股东关注,但我们认为他们不应感到担忧。从深度分析风险的角度来看,我们已识别出龙芯科技在投资前应注意的1个警告信号。
Of course Loongson Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
当然龙芯科技可能并不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能希望查看这份高股本回报率公司的免费集合,或者这份拥有高内部持股的股票名单。
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