Here's Why Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Can Afford Some Debt
Here's Why Suzhou Jinfu Technology (SZSE:300128) Can Afford Some Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Suzhou Jinfu Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300128) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大卫·伊本很好地说过,'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。'因此,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会压垮一家公司。与许多其他公司一样,锦富技术有限公司(SZSE:300128)也利用债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务带来了多少风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松偿还时才会真正成问题,要么通过筹集资金,要么通过自身的现金流。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以便宜的股价稀释股东,仅仅是为了控制债务。然而,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为那些需要资金以高回报率投资于增长的企业的极好工具。在考虑公司的债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务结合起来考虑。
What Is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Net Debt?
锦富技术的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Suzhou Jinfu Technology had CN¥1.63b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.04b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥359.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.27b.
你可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示截至2024年9月锦富技术的债务为16.3亿人民币,比一年前的10.4亿人民币有所增加。然而,它也有35950万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为12.7亿人民币。
A Look At Suzhou Jinfu Technology's Liabilities
看一下锦富技术的负债
The latest balance sheet data shows that Suzhou Jinfu Technology had liabilities of CN¥2.19b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥344.5m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥359.5m and CN¥924.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.25b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,锦富技术的负债为21.9亿人民币,需在一年内偿还,34450万人民币的负债在此之后到期。另一方面,它拥有35950万人民币的现金和92460万人民币的应收账款,需在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款高出12.5亿人民币。
Of course, Suzhou Jinfu Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥6.62b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Suzhou Jinfu Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
当然,锦富技术的市值为66.2亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可控的。不过,显然我们应该继续关注其资产负债表,以免出现不利变化。毫无疑问,我们最了解债务的方式就是通过资产负债表。但影响资产负债表未来表现的,是锦富技术的盈利能力。因此,如果你想要了解更多关于其盈利的信息,查看其长期盈利趋势图或许值得一看。
Over 12 months, Suzhou Jinfu Technology reported revenue of CN¥1.9b, which is a gain of 25%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去12个月里,锦富技术报告的营业收入为19亿人民币,同比增长25%,尽管它没有报告任何利息和税前盈利。希望公司能够通过增长实现盈利。
Caveat Emptor
买者自负盈亏
Despite the top line growth, Suzhou Jinfu Technology still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥187m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥775m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Suzhou Jinfu Technology (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
尽管收入增长,锦富技术在过去一年仍然出现了利息和税前亏损(EBIT)。事实上,它在EBIT级别上亏损了18700万人民币。当我们审视这一点,并回顾其资产负债表上的负债与现金相比时,公司负有任何债务似乎是不明智的。坦白说,我们认为这张资产负债表远未适合,但随着时间的推移仍然可能有所改善。然而,过去一年它消耗了77500万人民币的现金,这并无助于改善情况。因此,可以肯定的是,我们认为该股票非常风险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。我们已经发现锦富技术的三个警示信号(至少有两个不应该被忽视),理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。
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