Jilin Sino-Microelectronics (SHSE:600360) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jilin Sino-Microelectronics (SHSE:600360) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600360) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大卫·伊本说得好:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多风险时,我们总是喜欢关注它的负债使用,因为负债过多可能导致破产。重要的是,华微电子(SHSE:600360)确实携带债务。但是,这对股东来说是一个关注吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何时债务成为问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
当一个企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本,债务和其他债务就会变得对其风险。资本主义的一个组成部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业被他们的银行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性稀释股东权益,仅仅是为了支撑其资产负债表。尽管如此,最常见的情况是,一家公司合理管理其债务,并为自身利益服务。在考虑一家企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的组合。
What Is Jilin Sino-Microelectronics's Net Debt?
华微电子的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics had CN¥2.17b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥2.61b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥775.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.39b.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示华微电子在2024年9月时的债务为21.7亿人民币,较一年前的26.1亿人民币有所下降。然而,它有77560万人民币的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为13.9亿人民币。
A Look At Jilin Sino-Microelectronics' Liabilities
观察华微电子的负债情况
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥2.76b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥488.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥775.6m and CN¥1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.38b.
从最新的资产负债表数据来看,华微电子的短期负债为27.6亿人民币,长期负债为48820万人民币。另一方面,它的现金为77560万人民币,短期应收款项为10.9亿人民币。因此,它的负债超过了现金和短期应收款项的总和13.8亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Jilin Sino-Microelectronics is worth CN¥4.42b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
这个缺口并不是太糟糕,因为华微电子的价值为44.2亿人民币,因此如果需要,可能能够筹集足够的资金来巩固其资产负债表。但我们绝对要关注其债务带来的过多风险的迹象。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了评估一家公司的债务相对于其收益的情况,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税利润(EBIT)与利息费用(即利息覆盖)的比率。这种方法的优点在于我们同时考虑到债务的绝对数额(使用净债务与EBITDA的比率)和与该债务相关的实际利息支出(使用利息覆盖率)。
While we wouldn't worry about Jilin Sino-Microelectronics's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.7, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.0 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Jilin Sino-Microelectronics grew its EBIT a smooth 63% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jilin Sino-Microelectronics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
尽管我们对华微电子的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为3.7并不担忧,但我们认为其超低的利息保障倍数为2.0次是高杠杆的迹象。在很大程度上,这归因于该公司显著的折旧和摊销费用,这意味着其EBITDA可能是一个相当慷慨的收益衡量标准,其债务可能比最初看起来负担更重。因此,股东们应该注意,利息支出似乎确实对业务产生了影响。好消息是华微电子在过去12个月中EBIT增长了63%。这种增长就像母亲对新生儿的爱之拥抱,构建了韧性,使公司在管理其债务时处于更强的位置。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但华微电子的收益将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,如果您想了解更多关于其收益的信息,查看该公司长期收益趋势的图表可能是值得的。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jilin Sino-Microelectronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润是无法满足这一需求的。 所以逻辑上的步骤是查看EBIT中有多少比例匹配了实际的自由现金流。 在过去三年中,华微电子总共经历了大幅度的负自由现金流。 虽然这可能是由于增长的支出,但的确使得债务风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
Jilin Sino-Microelectronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Jilin Sino-Microelectronics's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Jilin Sino-Microelectronics that you should be aware of.
华微电子的EBIT转换为自由现金流和利息覆盖率在我们看来确实给其带来了压力。 但其EBIT增长率则讲述了一个截然不同的故事,并暗示出一些韧性。 综合考虑上述因素,我们确实认为华微电子的债务对业务构成了一定风险。 因此,虽然这种杠杆提升了股本回报,但我们并不希望看到其从这里继续增加。 资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。 但最终,每家公司都可能包含那些存在于资产负债表之外的风险。 例如,我们已经找到1个警告信号,华微电子需要你注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。
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