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We Think Fujian Funeng (SHSE:600483) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Fujian Funeng (SHSE:600483) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为福能股份(SHSE:600483)能够保持其债务的优势
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/27 06:51

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fujian Funeng Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600483) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾 famously 说过,'波动性远不等同于风险。' 所以看起来聪明的钱知道债务 - 通常与破产有关 - 是判断一家公司风险的重要因素。我们注意到福能股份(SHSE:600483)确实在资产负债表上有债务。但是,股东应该担心它的债务使用吗?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务带来风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务在企业难以还清时,通常会助力企业,或者通过新的资本或自由现金流来偿还。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,它可能会破产。虽然这并不常见,但我们确实经常看到负债公司因贷方迫使他们以低价融资而永久稀释股东的股权。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理管理其债务,并利用债务为自己带来利益。在考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要查看其现金和债务的情况。

How Much Debt Does Fujian Funeng Carry?

福能股份承担了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Fujian Funeng had CN¥18.4b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥19.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.20b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥13.2b.

您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数字,但它显示福能股份在2024年9月的债务为184亿人民币,比一年前的194亿人民币下降。另一方面,它的现金为52亿人民币,导致净债务约为132亿人民币。

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SHSE:600483 Debt to Equity History December 26th 2024
SHSE:600483 债务与权益历史 2024年12月26日

A Look At Fujian Funeng's Liabilities

福能股份的负债状况

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Funeng had liabilities of CN¥5.51b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.7b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.20b and CN¥5.33b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥10.7b.

从最新的资产负债表中我们可以看到,福能股份的流动负债为55.1亿人民币,且有157亿人民币的负债到期时间在一年之后。另一方面,它有52亿人民币的现金和53.3亿人民币的应收款在一年内到期。因此,它的负债超过了现金和(短期)应收款总和107亿人民币。

Fujian Funeng has a market capitalization of CN¥26.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

福能股份的市值为269亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,它很可能可以筹集现金来改善其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该仔细检查它是否能在不稀释的情况下管理其债务。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了评估一家公司的债务与其收益的关系,我们计算其净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)的比率,以及息税前利润(EBIT)与利息费用的比率(即利息覆盖率)。通过这种方式,我们考虑了债务的绝对数量和所支付的利率。

We'd say that Fujian Funeng's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.4), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. One way Fujian Funeng could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 16%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fujian Funeng's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

我们认为福能股份适度的净债务与EBITDA比率(为2.4)表明在债务方面的谨慎。其EBIT达到利息支出的0.1万倍,意味着其债务负担轻如孔雀羽毛。福能股份消除其债务的一种方式是停止借贷,但继续以约16%的速度增长EBIT,就像过去一年那样。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个开始的地方。但未来的收益,尤其是将判断福能股份未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想知道专业人士的看法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Fujian Funeng produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,虽然税务局可能热衷于会计利润,但贷方只接受真实的现金。因此,我们总是检查EBIT中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,福能股份产生了坚实的自由现金流,占其EBIT的57%,这大致是我们所期待的。这可观的现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that Fujian Funeng's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Fujian Funeng can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Funeng , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

好消息是,福能股份展示出用其EBIT覆盖利息支出的能力,这让我们像一只蓬松的小狗给幼儿带来快乐一样感到高兴。但说实话,我们觉得它的净债务与EBITDA的比率确实在一定程度上削弱了这种印象。综合考虑所有这些因素,福能股份似乎可以轻松应对目前的债务水平。当然,虽然这种杠杆可以提高股本回报,但确实带来了更多风险,因此值得关注这一点。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个开始的地方。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远不是如此。我们已经识别出福能股份的3个警告信号,理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最终,通常更好的是关注没有净负债的公司。你可以访问我们特别列出这些公司的名单(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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